Fifa International · resolved market
Will England beat Finland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4097ccfe340d86fe6173c6a622c62786f3d5678ed50682da23a5402dd3f5d649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4150…db54backed No | 0c | 28,551$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 21c | 12,336$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 78c | 8,023$6,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 79c | 3,109$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 22c | 1,991$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.89 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 78c | 1,800$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed No | 22c | 1,550$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 78c | 752.95$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked No | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…36bebacked Yes | 79c | 486.77$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 22c | 221.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Yes | 78c | 216.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 23c | 209.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 21c | 199.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 79c | 122.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 78c | 109.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63de…334bbacked No | 24c | 107.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…8ee4backed Yes | 77c | 71.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…da91backed Yes | 79c | 70.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…f75abacked Yes | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…46d4backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 79c | 63.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 21c | 63.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…604bbacked Yes | 79c | 61.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…b3d9backed Yes | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 78c | 44.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4721…4389backed Yes | 77c | 38.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…4b4bbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a1…7235backed Yes | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…8d58backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…c8aebacked Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…fe29backed Yes | 78c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England beat Finland?this page
- Will Finland beat England?No won
- Will the match between Finland and England end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.