College Football · resolved market
Will BYU beat Oklahoma State?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8876c9496c5b6b71c9b8ce8f3b4b984ba1ba186750ce95105e11820bd56716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof BYU, OKST
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed OKST | 52c | 8,269$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.76 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed BYU | 21c | 3,019$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.94 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed OKST | 32c | 2,555$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.35 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed BYU | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BYU | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked OKST | 10c | 1,374$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…4bdabacked OKST | 66c | 1,340$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…7145backed BYU | 65c | 868.78$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked BYU | 59c | 821.73$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.76 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…c208backed BYU | 76c | 821.34$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked BYU | 75c | 738.08$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked OKST | 17c | 640.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed BYU | 56c | 615.93$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.77 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked OKST | 28c | 562.15$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed BYU | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed BYU | 54c | 320.37$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed BYU | 75c | 319.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked BYU | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked BYU | 52c | 189.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked OKST | 23c | 179.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed BYU | 76c | 148.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed OKST | 22c | 139.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked BYU | 79c | 129.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed BYU | 68c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…8fabbacked BYU | 40c | 102.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed OKST | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed OKST | 47c | 40.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed BYU | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…da6dbacked BYU | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked BYU | 77c | 32.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e4…1d1ebacked BYU | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BYU beat Oklahoma State?this page
- Will BYU beat Oklahoma State by 10 or more points?No won
- Will there be 53 or more combined points scored?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.