Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahce beat Union Saint-Gilloise?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf838c64235f65c80a890acc9863227de512b6e8eb8a2013dd31689f92bee74cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 6,584$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.76 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 41c | 5,785$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 41c | 3,267$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.47 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 41c | 3,170$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 69c | 2,628$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 32c | 2,596$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.08 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…d82dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,416$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 40c | 2,183$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.19 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 39c | 1,716$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.05 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ab…7f03backed Yes | 62c | 1,658$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…d9f9backed Yes | 56c | 1,524$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 61c | 1,398$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 40c | 1,250$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…1ac3backed Yes | 57c | 1,216$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…172ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,117$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…71e2backed Yes | 59c | 938.98$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 59c | 776.27$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 59c | 750.04$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 58c | 690$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 40c | 624.17$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.44 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 59c | 295.27$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Yes | 61c | 287.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 48c | 232.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…46d3backed Yes | 60c | 223.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 59c | 223.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…9730backed Yes | 60c | 217.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…bc7abacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…c4edbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked No | 42c | 199.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…2033backed Yes | 61c | 177.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…0525backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…0569backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Yes | 59c | 126.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…03a0backed No | 40c | 110.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…6616backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…dbcebacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…353abacked Yes | 60c | 93.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…bd03backed No | 41c | 92.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…14e4backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked Yes | 64c | 78.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…3a69backed Yes | 58c | 68.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…f4a3backed Yes | 59c | 57.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…803fbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b2…736cbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…8edfbacked Yes | 60c | 48.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…657bbacked No | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 43.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…fef3backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…e0eabacked Yes | 61c | 30.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7934backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 80c | 19.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…e09bbacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…efdcbacked Yes | 61c | 17.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahce beat Union Saint-Gilloise?this page
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise beat Fenerbahce?No won
- Will the match between Fenerbahce vs. Union Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.