Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia beat Poland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed3a2e4d6891cab42fac5cbed8da789a131349564f2a9c6a1ae26cdf80a0407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 56c | 7,334$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.98 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…f75abacked Yes | 44c | 3,056$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 68c | 2,963$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…2d44backed Yes | 44c | 2,251$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…8ff8backed Yes | 43c | 2,176$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 58c | 2,128$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.22 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 54c | 1,533$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.04 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 30c | 1,390$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…69c9backed Yes | 41c | 1,195$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 63c | 1,195$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.93 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 42c | 1,144$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 59c | 1,045$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 61c | 1,000$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…24abbacked Yes | 42c | 959.65$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…8c35backed No | 61c | 944.26$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 39c | 890.4$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…5795backed Yes | 42c | 868.1$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…b44cbacked Yes | 74c | 765$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 24c | 750.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 40c | 647.34$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…e24bbacked Yes | 41c | 587.8$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…452fbacked No | 61c | 587.8$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 56c | 576.35$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…ceebbacked Yes | 42c | 476.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed No | 31c | 474.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 47c | 433.7$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…0789backed No | 61c | 427.87$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f4…f9f7backed No | 47c | 399.89$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…8500backed Yes | 46c | 314.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 20c | 222$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x394d…8240backed No | 60c | 203.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 60c | 199.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…c0f6backed No | 61c | 171.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c492backed No | 60c | 171.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 43c | 151.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…604bbacked Yes | 41c | 148.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…dd44backed Yes | 48c | 143.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba2…f2aabacked Yes | 42c | 143$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…68fcbacked Yes | 41c | 141.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…0c2cbacked Yes | 41c | 133.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…1c35backed No | 58c | 128.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 40c | 124.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 59c | 108.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…90f4backed Yes | 43c | 97.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…34ffbacked No | 62c | 91.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…b02bbacked Yes | 44c | 89.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…a8abbacked No | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…67e5backed Yes | 41c | 83.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…11a9backed Yes | 41c | 74.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 59c | 69.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…188fbacked Yes | 45c | 67.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb806…12abbacked Yes | 42c | 62.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…ad55backed No | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 31c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…3524backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…0633backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…3097backed Yes | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…94f6backed Yes | 41c | 37.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a45ebacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cb…378abacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 68c | 19.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia beat Poland?this page
- Will Poland beat Croatia?No won
- Will the match between Poland and Croatia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.