Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovenia beat Kazakhstan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9a9461a83090483017a4e1546232c2bb98c977f7e5c91cec1f14d01286bf6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0605…8eefbacked No | 0c | 10,105$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 44c | 2,604$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.13 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 55c | 1,800$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.99 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 39c | 1,167$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 1,048$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.72 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…8cbabacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…2304backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 58c | 453.66$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.54 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 41c | 377.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 61c | 352.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 56c | 315$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 67c | 234.26$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 40c | 233.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…5355backed Yes | 59c | 228.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…d146backed Yes | 61c | 174$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a827backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 59c | 168.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…c116backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 58c | 131.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 61c | 119.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…09a3backed No | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 40c | 90.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…46d4backed Yes | 61c | 82.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 51c | 81.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…760bbacked Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed No | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…1374backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…2fa8backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed Yes | 61c | 24.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…1d3cbacked Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovenia beat Kazakhstan?this page
- Will Kazakhstan beat Slovenia?No won
- Will the match between Kazakhstan and Slovenia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.