TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Padres Series Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47bc…c043backed Padres44c12,997$5,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,721.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Padres42c11,750$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.851963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Dodgers59c11,723$6,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Dodgers58c9,519$5,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,017.463167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Dodgers60c3,795$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.242171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked Padres44c3,107$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3661526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-49.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfc1…a74cbacked Dodgers56c2,954$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9dc…b14abacked Padres51c2,722$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dodgers59c2,311$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.317651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e785backed Dodgers58c2,079$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7a…3ef4backed Padres44c2,051$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Padres55c1,834$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.6116725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed Dodgers43c1,418$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Dodgers59c1,309$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.541723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb626…e748backed Padres69c1,277$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres42c1,163$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.1754048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac8…d2abbacked Dodgers57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aeb…b5febacked Dodgers57c1,001$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…316abacked Dodgers57c1,001$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5d…7ae1backed Padres43c1,001$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3b…d55bbacked Padres43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Padres43c951.44$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x738f…ba83backed Dodgers49c860.06$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed7…537abacked Padres42c809.92$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Dodgers50c800$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39821538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x141f…570abacked Padres43c744.81$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be1…302abacked Padres43c685.63$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Dodgers48c627.23$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0413353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0da…60e4backed Dodgers57c614.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204e…4236backed Padres42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.51520%3 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc498…24e3backed Padres52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd773…0592backed Padres43c575.89$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Dodgers49c566.44$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf866…75dcbacked Dodgers49c563.27$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb38…ae5fbacked Padres52c512.55$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Dodgers59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Dodgers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres43c453.83$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Padres45c445.1$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Padres51c432.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.681526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Dodgers59c390.81$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Dodgers53c380.83$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x959e…0315backed Padres53c361$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0873…807abacked Dodgers57c347.89$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c52…23cabacked Padres46c347.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b5…17f5backed Dodgers56c346$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f79…f1b3backed Dodgers54c324.56$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Dodgers71c314.75$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.288349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315b…d208backed Dodgers59c305.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Dodgers57c291.33$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Padres40c285.44$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Dodgers57c283.64$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.973525.7%9 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Padres41c270.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.953327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Dodgers58c270$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf183…979cbacked Padres10c268.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Padres55c259.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.73743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8244…7a11backed Dodgers56c259.02$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+91.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Padres49c252.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.381040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddcf…d49ebacked Dodgers41c244.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.464955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Padres42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82931%9 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Padres42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea77…7e1fbacked Dodgers63c237.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Dodgers58c215.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4403…5e3ebacked Padres47c213.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd6…9bb8backed Dodgers58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d0…034abacked Padres46c195.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…4eb6backed Padres52c191.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2310…8537backed Dodgers55c181.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2347…90b1backed Dodgers58c181.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Dodgers58c172.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.434254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Dodgers58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…cf59backed Dodgers58c172.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5730…a3f3backed Dodgers59c169.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1457…9d9abacked Padres45c158.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eee…cf0dbacked Dodgers57c157.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…4f16backed Dodgers70c156.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…60e7backed Padres45c155.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…774abacked Padres45c147.94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5726…09acbacked Dodgers58c143.05$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2361…314bbacked Dodgers57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x614b…797fbacked Dodgers59c138.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea76…a0b1backed Padres45c122.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…bd4abacked Dodgers57c122.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Dodgers57c122$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.461040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Dodgers62c119.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891b…eee1backed Dodgers59c118.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.421553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1823…b0fcbacked Padres43c116.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Dodgers54c110.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.991533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…a3c5backed Dodgers57c110.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ed…d08abacked Padres45c110.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Dodgers60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014549%71 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Dodgers76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248330.1%25 W · 58 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8ad…4c1cbacked Padres16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e7…9a6fbacked Dodgers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5c…1f98backed Dodgers30c99.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3959…a574backed Dodgers27c99.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf739…947dbacked Dodgers58c99.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b77…0944backed Padres43c98.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9234…efc4backed Dodgers49c95.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.