F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3e90a228049a07f929192a8dd725104b88d5c7da35b1e39c2f0ee41df1bb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 70c | 16,515$11,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.12 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…6f0abacked Yes | 77c | 9,958$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 56c | 8,614$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.77 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 68c | 8,143$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 3c | 3,999$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +710%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 18c | 3,929$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.22 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 48c | 3,645$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed No | 15c | 3,584$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…1fc8backed Yes | 31c | 3,147$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…6cecbacked Yes | 52c | 1,933$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 68c | 1,922$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 24c | 1,687$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 77c | 1,600$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 50c | 1,261$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,168$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,122$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf5…40e4backed Yes | 20c | 1,003$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 50c | 993.46$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…c4abbacked Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 43c | 497$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…86babacked Yes | 56c | 482.45$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked No | 53c | 480$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…9508backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…97fcbacked Yes | 24c | 411.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 57c | 404.28$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…dcffbacked No | 50c | 402.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 37c | 399.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 50c | 352.94$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 25c | 350.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…7254backed Yes | 20c | 300.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 76c | 299.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…8753backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…287cbacked No | 64c | 250.06$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…5db2backed Yes | 49c | 244$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…efc7backed No | 51c | 243.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc3…23b3backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…a724backed Yes | 52c | 236.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 57c | 209.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf359…c6cbbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…2063backed Yes | 52c | 193.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 49c | 192.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…a619backed Yes | 54c | 183.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 181.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked Yes | 51c | 168.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…a7d4backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…868dbacked No | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…1682backed Yes | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed No | 74c | 135.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked No | 48c | 118.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…bd47backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…5076backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5576backed Yes | 52c | 109.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…f2acbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…f806backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…2c0bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…47f9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 41c | 99.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547a…f92cbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 20c | 85.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…fcdfbacked Yes | 19c | 84.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…ea73backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 46c | 83.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…c9e7backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…5613backed Yes | 52c | 71.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf2…e87dbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 71c | 59.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…3d68backed Yes | 44c | 56.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…78d9backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…94d7backed Yes | 55c | 51.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…7234backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…4fc9backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ac…71ddbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…4e8fbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf727…5b58backed Yes | 53c | 40.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…f1a9backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed No | 49c | 37.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…c19ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf313…ebf7backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe603…8005backed Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…8bbbbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…c05cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…0eeabacked No | 67c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the United States Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will George Russell win the United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the United States Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the United States Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.