Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCSB beat FK RFS?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c537cc4c2a17850d5183c2a243a1ad9fab02d4903e765b7e282e9349688b66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 44c | 14,367$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,272.63 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 58c | 11,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed Yes | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 40c | 4,825$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.83 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 2c | 1,750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 14c | 821.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 66c | 797.59$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.45 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 59c | 550$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 41c | 540.49$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Yes | 59c | 537$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 46c | 437.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 59c | 251.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…5710backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…914abacked No | 41c | 176.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…5f0bbacked No | 43c | 117.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…6616backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…dbcebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 42c | 97.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…a28abacked No | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…3cf3backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fb…1cd5backed No | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…808ebacked Yes | 57c | 58.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…e314backed Yes | 57c | 47.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCSB beat FK RFS?this page
- Will FK RFS beat FCSB?No won
- Will the match between FCSB vs. FK RFS end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.