World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9aa56affb48d6cbc056a41a25f0c51bbf89a4823a9fcdffe542542d06e2b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc212…a125backed Yes | 70c | 11,466$8,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 7c | 3,415$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 4c | 3,100$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 31c | 3,055$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 74c | 2,490$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.94 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked No | 27c | 2,141$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.59 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 34c | 2,073$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e5bebacked No | 33c | 2,071$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 67c | 1,981$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…9e00backed Yes | 68c | 1,478$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 5c | 1,460$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed No | 14c | 1,345$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfe…d914backed No | 15c | 1,279$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 18c | 1,186$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 32c | 1,087$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.38 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 31c | 1,058$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked No | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 17c | 999.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…1ef6backed No | 21c | 961.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 22c | 922.62$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed No | 20c | 899.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 68c | 800$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed No | 26c | 778.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed No | 7c | 741.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…72bebacked No | 30c | 674.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…55d7backed Yes | 71c | 661.4$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 29c | 600.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.36 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…4779backed Yes | 64c | 536.88$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed No | 5c | 536.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 9c | 510.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 78c | 499.24$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 79c | 496.53$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…b1d3backed No | 49c | 495.89$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…0693backed No | 20c | 459$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 73c | 457.09$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 69c | 443.56$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 41c | 420$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 27c | 415.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed No | 18c | 392.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 9c | 386.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb44…c56ebacked No | 24c | 359.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 354.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked No | 25c | 342.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 71c | 339.57$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 77c | 327.23$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 13c | 315.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…b24dbacked No | 14c | 314.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…408cbacked No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9b85backed No | 12c | 299.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 76c | 298.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -8.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -37%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 7c | 288.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 6c | 286$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 77c | 278.42$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 13c | 276.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Yes | 62c | 275.41$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 68c | 272.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…764cbacked Yes | 74c | 270.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked No | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 28c | 257.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 66c | 252.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 19c | 237.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb948…12e5backed No | 57c | 221.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 79c | 212.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 9c | 211.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b20…68bdbacked Yes | 77c | 198.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 29c | 182$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked No | 32c | 157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fec…4cafbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…8737backed No | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 63c | 140.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 76c | 139.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 80c | 125.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 77c | 125.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…35d9backed No | 38c | 121.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 69c | 119.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a2…910abacked Yes | 77c | 119.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 70c | 115.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed Yes | 74c | 115$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 25c | 110.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc9…7304backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9de…0dc5backed Yes | 69c | 101.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…6c04backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…7a55backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed Yes | 68c | 98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…8e16backed No | 22c | 90.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 73c | 89.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 63c | 81.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d68dbacked No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 32c | 79.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…fc24backed Yes | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.