NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f753e8d84cfc2f7d71e042bbeb223d17b778bb183f6c6c2150f3fd7b8826825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Kings, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Kings | 1c | 52,328$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.85 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Kings | 29c | 17,927$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Thunder | 72c | 15,926$11,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.94 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3d3fbacked Kings | 0c | 10,902$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 25c | 7,600$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 73c | 7,386$5,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.93 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 17c | 7,181$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.82 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 26c | 6,200$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.51 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Kings | 8c | 5,737$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.58 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 73c | 5,016$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.23 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 74c | 4,643$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.59 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Kings | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Kings | 1c | 3,997$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 71c | 3,927$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.78 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 13c | 3,729$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kings | 28c | 3,519$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Kings | 30c | 3,470$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.83 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Kings | 25c | 3,347$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Kings | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings | 26c | 2,990$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.71 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Thunder | 72c | 2,876$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.63 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…33dbbacked Thunder | 79c | 2,769$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.53 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 21c | 2,610$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Thunder | 78c | 2,374$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.23 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 79c | 2,363$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.23 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 75c | 2,198$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.83 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b10backed Kings | 27c | 2,169$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 1c | 1,966$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Kings | 27c | 1,884$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.64 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 71c | 1,650$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Thunder | 72c | 1,509$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.94 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Thunder | 74c | 1,486$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.05 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 75c | 1,390$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,312$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Kings | 3c | 1,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Kings | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 23c | 1,013$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Thunder | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Kings | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Kings | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Thunder | 73c | 904.11$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.11 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 76c | 901.87$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kings | 1c | 897.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Thunder | 73c | 816$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 16c | 776.02$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…93bcbacked Thunder | 73c | 766.33$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa887…363bbacked Thunder | 73c | 735.77$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Kings | 29c | 697.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings | 27c | 688.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…996abacked Thunder | 73c | 670.62$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 71c | 644$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Thunder | 80c | 615.08$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Thunder | 74c | 576.81$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Kings | 27c | 555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…db11backed Kings | 27c | 554.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Thunder | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 17c | 480.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 23c | 441.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Kings | 22c | 436.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 71c | 422.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Kings | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Thunder | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Kings | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Thunder | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Kings | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Kings | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Kings | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Kings | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Thunder | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Kings | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Kings | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Kings | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Kings | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Kings | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Thunder | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Thunder | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Kings | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Kings | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Thunder | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Kings | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…f8b6backed Thunder | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Thunder | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Kings | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…0982backed Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…fcbdbacked Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…888abacked Kings | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…aff7backed Kings | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…8767backed Kings | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…9e5ebacked Thunder | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…caaebacked Kings | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8a72backed Kings | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…25dbbacked Kings | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…2da4backed Kings | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.