NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee09c8e5e6e96ca0e036f3c8fd3d38940d36b0b3dd4ba705e7ffa7577f0596d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 65c | 4,106$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.64 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 4,010$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.42 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 2,431$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.39 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,317$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.57 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Devils | 55c | 2,214$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.76 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Devils | 61c | 2,200$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,124$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.38 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Devils | 57c | 1,395$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.71 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…5febbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,324$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…e7eebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b25…e5d1backed Devils | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…11abbacked Devils | 56c | 950.46$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…29eebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 950$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Devils | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 899.51$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Devils | 55c | 709.28$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.11 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Devils | 57c | 499.95$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Devils | 57c | 499.93$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Devils | 57c | 499.93$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…47d1backed Devils | 57c | 499.93$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 449.9$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.44 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Devils | 76c | 448.28$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Devils | 70c | 369.32$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.11 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…42b9backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 367.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…fba6backed Devils | 56c | 367.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 363.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 361.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…0493backed Devils | 70c | 343.32$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 334.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Devils | 60c | 331.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Devils | 54c | 330.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Devils | 50c | 316.17$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…a9bcbacked Devils | 57c | 313.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76e…9c78backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 313.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Devils | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…9384backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 298.38$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Devils | 56c | 298$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Devils | 62c | 262.39$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 253.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Devils | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bed…d895backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 216.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Devils | 58c | 211.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 67c | 200.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Devils | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…cc30backed Devils | 53c | 190.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…6022backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 190.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…0db7backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 188.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Devils | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Devils | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Devils | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 154.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 147.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 140.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 126.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 125.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Devils | 78c | 117.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 115.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…a2fbbacked Devils | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…970cbacked Devils | 56c | 106.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 106.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…0032backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 103.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 101.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Devils | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Devils | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf754…0185backed Devils | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…f9d9backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…71fbbacked Devils | 58c | 96.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…e6e0backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…7de0backed Devils | 56c | 95.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…8355backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Devils | 56c | 91.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…ad55backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Devils | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…2752backed Devils | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 87.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…07f7backed Devils | 56c | 83.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…678cbacked Devils | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…dc9ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 73.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…f5aebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 73.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…0effbacked Devils | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Devils | 57c | 70.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8667…ba14backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 68.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…f500backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 58.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e9…8decbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 58.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…8420backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 57.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…923bbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 57.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 56.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…283bbacked Devils | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.