WNBA · resolved market
WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c462001279fafa620bc2fb200af7b5f28ea8b89eefecc1cc419d3c4cbf86b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Storm | 18c | 4,741$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Storm | 18c | 4,216$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Aces | 78c | 4,194$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Storm | 20c | 1,433$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Aces | 80c | 1,111$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Aces | 76c | 1,012$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Storm | 24c | 999.75$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Storm | 19c | 936.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Storm | 23c | 932.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.93 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Storm | 23c | 856$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…bdc4backed Storm | 22c | 745.71$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Storm | 25c | 706.51$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Aces | 78c | 602$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Aces | 77c | 557.54$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…f10cbacked Storm | 22c | 501.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Storm | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Storm | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…5179backed Aces | 78c | 287.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…148ebacked Aces | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Aces | 77c | 249.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Aces | 78c | 249.32$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e6…0b86backed Aces | 77c | 246.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…e76ebacked Aces | 78c | 222$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Aces | 77c | 221.79$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Aces | 80c | 215$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Aces | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Aces | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…7475backed Aces | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3c55backed Aces | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…509dbacked Aces | 78c | 124.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed Aces | 78c | 114.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72a…582dbacked Storm | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…4c76backed Storm | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7e…d35cbacked Aces | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…69d7backed Storm | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…0956backed Aces | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfb…fb18backed Storm | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…12fdbacked Storm | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Storm | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…7d46backed Aces | 78c | 74.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Aces | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…9265backed Aces | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Aces | 79c | 44.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Aces | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…8847backed Aces | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Aces | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe919…8e5dbacked Aces | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…f6d2backed Aces | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Aces | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.