TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Ravens vs. Browns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brownsof Ravens, Browns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94dc…c779backed Ravens74c21,890$16,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,126.997853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Browns40c18,019$7,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,860.5214457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Browns24c14,128$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,737.3139754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Browns34c13,564$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,930.9844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Browns35c9,006$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,818.1622638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Browns22c5,514$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.9227339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Ravens80c5,297$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,237.652263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Ravens74c5,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7007847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Browns20c4,807$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,845.9116036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Ravens68c4,480$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.9532438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c7…8371backed Ravens36c4,286$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.112245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed Ravens52c3,652$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.182871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Ravens76c3,586$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.339754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Ravens76c3,184$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.0112051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c4…a48bbacked Browns24c2,550$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Browns42c2,500$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.884226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Ravens67c2,254$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.292875%21 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Ravens65c2,043$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.1410334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Ravens80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…16ebbacked Ravens29c1,204$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.092378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcc8…35aebacked Ravens78c1,107$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.431662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Ravens79c1,053$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.8719864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b94…ce9dbacked Browns24c1,042$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.671020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Ravens77c999.96$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9710256.9%58 W · 44 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Browns36c762.14$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7725643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc910…5e8dbacked Browns39c746.69$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.231553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Browns79c700$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14911821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Browns52c616.46$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.483033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa3…f82dbacked Ravens22c555$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.12429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Browns78c555$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.17655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3275…e7fcbacked Browns58c516.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.034042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0e…68e6backed Ravens60c513$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.81957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Ravens74c506.6$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.55945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Ravens19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9516832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Browns20c499.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9616139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5706…44acbacked Ravens46c473.88$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.425532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d99…04f3backed Ravens79c450$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe424…8874backed Browns58c401.02$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Ravens76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30439242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f3…8d6fbacked Browns10c388.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+386.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ravens76c379.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1838459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0094…4551backed Ravens80c375.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.182466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Browns22c363.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Ravens79c356.33$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.514750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Ravens59c345.7$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0931032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…efb8backed Ravens79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2376058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Browns21c291.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.22933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+175.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Ravens69c288.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Browns30c288.3$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6321713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Browns28c274$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Ravens39c259.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ravens33c255.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3852828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4201…4334backed Browns22c251.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+215.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Ravens39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2820246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d6…8d72backed Ravens80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick63cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Ravens79c249.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4924351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…89a1backed Ravens80c248.75$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick78cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bae…bdf5backed Ravens80c240$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829b…e88abacked Browns21c234.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.451428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Ravens79c232.5$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.683268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c0…c88cbacked Ravens77c230$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.25160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Ravens61c230$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.37640.8%31 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Ravens78c221.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1520736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x641f…ab52backed Ravens80c208.75$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Ravens17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3433328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Ravens52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10324160.6%146 W · 95 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Ravens79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1583351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…b428backed Ravens79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf440…2747backed Ravens35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Ravens79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Ravens76c196.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Browns42c194.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.754334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0d…8eb5backed Ravens78c178.1$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.921540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc015…f1f4backed Ravens79c176.72$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Ravens79c170.89$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Ravens64c164.06$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.754630.4%14 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Ravens78c162.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8837556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771b…05e1backed Ravens56c151.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Ravens80c150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.56848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ab…8882backed Browns79c139.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ed…da81backed Ravens79c136.77$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Browns22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.367448.6%36 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f6d…6632backed Ravens76c130.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.842171.4%15 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Ravens77c129.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.756518.5%12 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Browns73c124$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.413547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5854…8d98backed Ravens80c122.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb3…9542backed Browns21c121.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+367.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Ravens78c120$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.629356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Ravens53c113.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Ravens80c111$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.85766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a05…e4b8backed Ravens46c108.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe800…e861backed Ravens71c105.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Ravens60c105$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.77054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ravens59c104.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.114147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbe1…5677backed Ravens70c102$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.046553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Ravens65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Ravens76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7613655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c5…28e5backed Browns26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Ravens80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.