TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Patriotsof Jets, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Jets71c45,033$31,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,904.1612051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ea…9b3ebacked Patriots27c37,255$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,255.31825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Patriots38c15,197$5,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,472.3814457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Jets75c10,086$7,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,560.6312842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ae…85c4backed Patriots27c9,259$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,759.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+71.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Patriots29c8,203$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.0222638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Jets53c5,911$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.6125643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Patriots48c4,906$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.5110960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets75c4,781$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.9936246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Jets74c3,846$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.163336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1856…1964backed Patriots13c3,835$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.623860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets74c2,746$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.8844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x400f…e712backed Patriots27c2,515$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Patriots25c2,496$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87227339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Patriots25c2,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5104226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Patriots34c1,638$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.8211821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3275…e7fcbacked Patriots26c1,561$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.614042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Jets74c1,414$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.544577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Patriots26c1,300$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9654422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63a9…e7a3backed Jets59c1,271$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Patriots24c1,013$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.916036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Patriots32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68010334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb7e…d71fbacked Jets75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Patriots27c930.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.842441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Jets41c864.03$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2533328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets75c833$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.7519864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed Patriots21c813.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.391369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+89.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd86…36b3backed Patriots25c799.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.983920.5%8 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Jets73c602.07$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.0710256.9%58 W · 44 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Jets65c587.09$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d2…ed25backed Jets75c550$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Patriots27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36511949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Jets76c414.08$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.74124.4%10 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb18…1f0ebacked Patriots48c412.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Jets73c407.09$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.139242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Patriots18c398.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4752828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabc…0aedbacked Patriots26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Patriots26c380.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4614139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…377dbacked Patriots27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Patriots45c353.33$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.338035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Patriots26c330$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.25945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Patriots26c300$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2236018.3%11 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-55.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47db…9b16backed Patriots18c299.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.196055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc60…3e66backed Jets75c275$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.251675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Patriots23c274.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.029645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac45…20c5backed Jets72c264.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.653053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Jets74c254.08$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Patriots11c228.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.353033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141c…16ebbacked Jets75c212.32$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.242378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets73c210.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3238459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Patriots27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14628433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842c…2e53backed Jets75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x065a…7b78backed Jets76c187.21$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x829b…e88abacked Patriots27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891b…eee1backed Patriots27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.199151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Patriots24c179.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7510052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Patriots10c171.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.73933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+175.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Patriots25c170.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6812827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d6e…00dabacked Jets75c166.64$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Jets51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61d9…85a1backed Patriots27c153.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Jets79c152.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…b428backed Jets71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e58…be81backed Patriots13c148.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd389…4b84backed Patriots13c148.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Patriots12c140.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.947640.8%31 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Jets75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005671.4%40 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f3…8d6fbacked Patriots15c129.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.01475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+386.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Jets78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd9…5fb2backed Patriots26c123.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Jets75c118$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.55766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ea…ba4abacked Patriots27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.112842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4b…1914backed Patriots28c105.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.132540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57fa…51c4backed Patriots26c104.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.423256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Jets74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e0…611dbacked Jets75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…3ababacked Patriots27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Patriots25c99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2526331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Jets73c95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Patriots28c93.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2113547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Patriots27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.596518.5%12 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb1…f7eebacked Patriots25c89.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.141127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5706…44acbacked Patriots15c86.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.675532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Patriots27c84.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9721713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ed3…6334backed Patriots26c80.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.291942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79b4…c276backed Patriots26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa3…f82dbacked Patriots15c75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.752429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ec…01b6backed Patriots26c72.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc00…122dbacked Jets77c71.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552378.3%18 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f41…46d4backed Jets76c69.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.74977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Patriots16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.56536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Patriots40c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.24850%24 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cc…094fbacked Patriots25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.741735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c9…f035backed Jets76c59.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486c…3d03backed Patriots26c58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.924951%25 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2d…47e4backed Patriots26c57.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.872630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x334e…5d9cbacked Patriots26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6073…ab13backed Patriots19c54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+414.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b8…918bbacked Jets77c53.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0150…a67abacked Jets74c53.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.