NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322a7d2d1bc4eb8f657cbd413d0df31605a6694930281b75cedd8f379eab7942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Magic, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers | 78c | 5,332$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.13 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 27c | 4,814$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.13 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd3…9309backed Magic | 20c | 4,430$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Pacers | 71c | 3,701$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.31 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed Magic | 34c | 3,355$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…e1bebacked Magic | 34c | 2,952$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pacers | 66c | 2,617$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.77 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0de0backed Magic | 8c | 2,144$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 33c | 2,090$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…7819backed Pacers | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…4700backed Pacers | 66c | 1,592$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…bdb6backed Magic | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Pacers | 66c | 1,356$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.55 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 30c | 1,350$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 5c | 1,350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…1ea4backed Pacers | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Pacers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic | 32c | 999.95$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 34c | 999.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Pacers | 80c | 978.09$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Magic | 32c | 943.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 69c | 901.18$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.95 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…0946backed Magic | 35c | 856.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58d…7a16backed Magic | 20c | 800$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Pacers | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Magic | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Pacers | 65c | 689.17$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.21 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 29c | 645.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…0c37backed Pacers | 69c | 630.54$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…6ea2backed Pacers | 74c | 603.81$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Magic | 32c | 603.23$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Magic | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Magic | 33c | 585$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Pacers | 67c | 585$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.05 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Pacers | 67c | 575$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Pacers | 66c | 574.39$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Pacers | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Magic | 33c | 455.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Pacers | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 32c | 421.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Pacers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Magic | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Pacers | 65c | 319.48$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Magic | 34c | 318.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Pacers | 68c | 310$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Magic | 32c | 302.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…91e7backed Pacers | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Magic | 30c | 279.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…0c42backed Magic | 36c | 275$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 35c | 271.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…4a77backed Magic | 33c | 259.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Pacers | 68c | 203.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0ea8backed Magic | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…a421backed Pacers | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Pacers | 70c | 196$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Magic | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Magic | 29c | 179.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Pacers | 67c | 174.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…35ffbacked Magic | 20c | 171.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…9d1abacked Magic | 32c | 170.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…d340backed Magic | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Magic | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pacers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Magic | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Pacers | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…b420backed Magic | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Magic | 33c | 149.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Magic | 33c | 149.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…ad4fbacked Pacers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…fd2cbacked Pacers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…cbfabacked Pacers | 72c | 148.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Magic | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…bfb2backed Pacers | 76c | 131.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Magic | 32c | 128.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…6d5fbacked Pacers | 64c | 117.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Magic | 25c | 117.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…65e9backed Pacers | 69c | 113.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…f470backed Magic | 32c | 110.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…ae8bbacked Magic | 18c | 107.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Pacers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…d866backed Pacers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Magic | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Magic | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Magic | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Magic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Pacers | 67c | 99.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…81ebbacked Magic | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392e…9f19backed Pacers | 70c | 92.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…ac22backed Pacers | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Pacers | 67c | 89.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…b27fbacked Pacers | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9234…efc4backed Magic | 35c | 89.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Magic | 33c | 83.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…0762backed Pacers | 71c | 82.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Magic | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Pacers | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…6cacbacked Magic | 35c | 77.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…4589backed Magic | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…2f51backed Pacers | 72c | 76.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.