TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Kings, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings73c8,121$5,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,962.3747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors22c3,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3301,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Raptors36c2,345$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.814233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Kings75c2,070$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.94045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Kings74c1,950$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.838436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Raptors49c1,722$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.1170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors46c1,680$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Raptors25c1,249$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.6253250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Kings76c1,049$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.629248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Kings43c1,033$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4447549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4901…f513backed Kings80c902.42$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Raptors69c700$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Raptors48c696.78$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9327939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe1…5677backed Raptors64c625.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.266738.8%26 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe22a…ada2backed Kings35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Raptors26c531.04$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.976429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x738d…4df6backed Kings24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204524.4%11 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors24c482.33$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.571,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors53c481.28$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Kings75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Raptors25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed Raptors70c300$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Raptors75c295.01$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.757236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Raptors24c290.51$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.793342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Kings79c286.14$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.922254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Kings41c267.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4811332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7405…2797backed Kings55c249.6$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.093351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Raptors49c241.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9222430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Raptors42c229.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1510441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…06b1backed Raptors41c226.88$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Kings31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings74c200$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Kings55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa88c…4426backed Raptors33c199.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.99540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Kings55c193.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7315341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Raptors38c186$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6516443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe424…8874backed Raptors34c182.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors28c168.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.671,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…c72abacked Raptors21c156.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.82333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+58.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcdd…a15abacked Raptors65c154.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x242f…286ebacked Kings79c150$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5433…0d50backed Kings76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Raptors24c149.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11420233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Kings19c135$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.155714%8 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Kings76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Kings76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Raptors60c124.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.036547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Raptors25c119.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.433823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d6…3fc8backed Kings75c119.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Raptors54c103.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.565536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…fa27backed Raptors59c102.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39c…0498backed Raptors58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213756.2%77 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Kings50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Raptors26c99.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9577437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Raptors55c91.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0523359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…16c7backed Kings76c88.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…19b0backed Kings76c87.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5550%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Kings46c77.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4423833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b27…5387backed Raptors65c76.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Raptors29c72.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8710440.4%42 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Raptors29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.972466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Kings71c68.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2914129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Kings76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Kings39c62.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4219137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…3374backed Kings48c56.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.741353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors28c56.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Raptors28c54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0648741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb000…064cbacked Kings76c52.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+114.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Kings46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Raptors26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375721.1%12 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Raptors45c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Raptors23c47.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.832560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Kings77c47.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.831421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-62%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Kings42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd6…d874backed Kings65c45.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.597650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1147…487bbacked Raptors26c42.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65d…90f4backed Kings67c40.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24cb…f959backed Kings77c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44e…4d45backed Kings80c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Kings28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Kings56c37.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7610243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb75…1267backed Kings76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf319…1d1abacked Kings50c32.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51f2…8d23backed Kings45c31.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.396139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde96…5290backed Kings49c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3de…7434backed Kings66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff76…5163backed Kings46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…2027backed Kings74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Kings76c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.923540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5248…1b57backed Kings76c23.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fe…24d4backed Kings76c22.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b8…da98backed Raptors80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe893…5f92backed Kings76c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa56b…bf5fbacked Kings76c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick57cpaid-77%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.