TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2024-12-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes17c6,505$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.0179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.998750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Yes21c4,833$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No18c3,377$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.6379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes22c2,799$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.7540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c2,309$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes15c2,302$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No19c1,935$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.8237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes22c1,776$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3997116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes23c1,288$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed No79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.82955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes35c1,250$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43224062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No14c1,186$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9919743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6fc3…da8abacked Yes9c1,106$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed No80c1,001$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61b…ff04backed Yes9c939.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes22c899.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes13c788.44$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.684742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes20c769.88$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5417945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No72c759.58$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes22c752.38$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No19c734.5$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.942725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes8c730.28$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.071717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+301.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…5c09backed No80c701.25$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.251258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes20c652.31$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4617837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No78c559.09$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes22c549.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.182045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes22c534.27$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.542138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x990b…c30ebacked Yes21c521.48$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes16c515.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.274926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5496…0f46backed No79c506.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda1…d9adbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes21c461.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.622932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes19c457.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1840254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked Yes27c405.15$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.391942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes21c333.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…126fbacked Yes14c318.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa805…8d5fbacked No79c263$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+242.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes28c256.62$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.152634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.59747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.62931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Yes21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No79c249.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.514854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes19c234.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.063132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes22c201.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No80c175.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No37c158.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Yes63c158.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe39b…67e6backed No80c151.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.251457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Yes21c149.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.381266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302737%10 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bf64backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63c4…cb0cbacked No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253729.7%11 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+91.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd2b…2e45backed No77c119$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes26c111$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.865429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…96b7backed No80c100.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210932.1%35 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44e…711bbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf6e…632fbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212065%13 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4782…6435backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202010%2 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fe…8fb0backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426e…1bd3backed No80c95.24$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bc…8c15backed Yes21c90.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No80c85.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1814057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes21c82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2211915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b75…787ebacked Yes21c80.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8d…93a8backed Yes22c79.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x267a…425dbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes47c69.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7321463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes31c67.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Yes77c58.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d14…e013backed No80c56.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…10f0backed Yes22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1437…9599backed No80c41.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0bf…14cfbacked No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c1…4d52backed Yes28c38.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…ee03backed No80c32.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked No79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.652171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…4778backed No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…5459backed No79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…78f9backed No79c18.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c13…7930backed No78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0815…b736backed No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.