TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No58c10,822$6,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.7611657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a4…cfd0backed No44c9,470$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,303.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd965…e76ebacked Yes56c9,467$5,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,301.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…2609backed Yes35c4,325$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed Yes55c4,227$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No44c4,205$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.6379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No45c3,579$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.4839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes28c3,126$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.161573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb913…e52fbacked No45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.988750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked No45c1,787$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.277651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes52c1,718$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.711937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No78c1,637$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb5…f8d5backed Yes57c1,586$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes55c1,500$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.137825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No43c1,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9417945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Yes42c1,469$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.131450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes52c1,387$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.729044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No44c1,233$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.7224062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…532abacked Yes56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52d…f61fbacked Yes57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-77.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed No43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed No45c1,085$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.592744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes56c1,051$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.4222744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes57c1,016$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9344939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5606959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab7…d178backed Yes55c999.98$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed No43c999.92$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No43c999.88$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.938145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes8c952.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes57c945.61$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5394742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No44c845.98$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.758230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x956d…2199backed Yes56c830.1$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d05…152fbacked No43c827.95$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No43c799.98$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.994963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No43c770.98$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.6690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Yes41c737.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes56c724.28$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes57c723.18$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.2118950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes24c695.83$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16718433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes38c650.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes57c634.18$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.483348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No43c581.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.743762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9c…36e4backed No44c504.96$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e1…e9eabacked Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked No43c499.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.995644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes23c493.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1159027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes57c491.23$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes47c483.55$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.672138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes28c463.58$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.13935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Yes56c450$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.8870%0 W · 7 L-4.3wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Yes56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed No44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes57c349.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.520447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed No44c343.3$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.34926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes7c303.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.651717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+301.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Yes56c299.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.251957.9%11 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes55c296.66$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee90…6a03backed Yes57c277.19$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ec…4279backed No44c270.68$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes56c265.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.589348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2715347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed No44c223$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.881266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes55c218.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0429643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed Yes54c212.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.654654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No43c203.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes40c201.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11429653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11442755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…126fbacked Yes50c188$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes57c187.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9818740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8529…b973backed Yes57c173.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.141844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2a…92b1backed Yes57c173.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Yes57c167.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes49c162.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x517f…a9cfbacked No44c151.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b7…4eabbacked Yes57c151$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f90…1b35backed No45c149.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked No45c146.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+70%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Yes57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes55c130.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6140135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Yes56c124.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.25540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes57c120.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.515636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf54f…bf86backed Yes57c116.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes55c115.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2118232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5e1…f860backed Yes58c112.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No61c106.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.725959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc92c…b909backed Yes57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+89.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No70c103.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6b…13e4backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44e…711bbacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51ee…40b8backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…c40ebacked Yes56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.992552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.