NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf375dd489f1bad2ba2b6fc0210fd37810e4c42c3e009a6051661b877cf90cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Ducks, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Ducks | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Ducks | 20c | 1,878$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.63 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Ducks | 14c | 1,348$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 1,236$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Ducks | 20c | 1,199$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks | 20c | 996.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Ducks | 19c | 981.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 2c | 956.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Ducks | 22c | 906.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 727.22$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 21c | 603.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 500$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Ducks | 22c | 499.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Ducks | 19c | 298.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 22c | 285.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 21c | 251.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Ducks | 28c | 244.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 13c | 228.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…3074backed Ducks | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks | 26c | 189.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Ducks | 16c | 175.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 170.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…2c0dbacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 148.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de3…af1ebacked Ducks | 22c | 148.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Ducks | 20c | 147.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maple Leafs | 74c | 130.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…eb90backed Ducks | 22c | 126.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…e974backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 126.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…2d96backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…661bbacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Ducks | 20c | 117.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…2b36backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…00e4backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Ducks | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…a427backed Ducks | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…f1acbacked Ducks | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…d663backed Ducks | 21c | 90.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1aa…8ce4backed Ducks | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Ducks | 25c | 78.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 75.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…8e02backed Ducks | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Ducks | 21c | 73.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…3c82backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 72.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…0fcfbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…9864backed Ducks | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…1362backed Ducks | 32c | 67.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…33f9backed Ducks | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…e215backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8962…875ebacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 61.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…a20fbacked Ducks | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…f141backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 57.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…0bd6backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 52.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…4a40backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…92b8backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…956fbacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 48.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…124cbacked Ducks | 27c | 43.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1371…3c76backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…c730backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Maple Leafs | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…fe86backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…2b56backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 34.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Maple Leafs | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…1785backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 34.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…02ebbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 31.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…a452backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…def3backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 30.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…2b39backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 28.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…292cbacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 28.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde8…5443backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 27.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb5…91fdbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 27.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…bfacbacked Maple Leafs | 75c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…f8c8backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…a5c0backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…2819backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…518abacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…3ab4backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 24.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…4064backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 24.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ea…3d47backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 24.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…f14abacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4c…9494backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…966cbacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 19.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.