NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7939dc7f5e05e8fdaedaf71a135966525ca9979528bec082fd4f8cb8a11c621c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Panthers, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Panthers | 18c | 21,525$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.99 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Panthers | 19c | 11,261$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.69 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Panthers | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Panthers | 9c | 9,226$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Panthers | 19c | 5,484$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.56 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Commanders | 80c | 4,416$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.27 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…651dbacked Panthers | 4c | 2,997$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Panthers | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Commanders | 78c | 1,151$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.19 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Panthers | 19c | 821.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Panthers | 20c | 799.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Commanders | 79c | 755$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Panthers | 21c | 690.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…b00dbacked Panthers | 6c | 650$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Commanders | 80c | 624.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Panthers | 4c | 546.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Panthers | 19c | 540$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Commanders | 79c | 539.97$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Panthers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Panthers | 20c | 444$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Panthers | 20c | 415$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Commanders | 80c | 409.09$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Commanders | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Panthers | 19c | 399.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Panthers | 23c | 399.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…80c0backed Panthers | 20c | 365$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…09dfbacked Commanders | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Panthers | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…8501backed Panthers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Panthers | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Panthers | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed Commanders | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Commanders | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Panthers | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1235…7f74backed Panthers | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Commanders | 77c | 150.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…c62bbacked Panthers | 18c | 139$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…08e3backed Panthers | 19c | 136.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Commanders | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Commanders | 76c | 128.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…41aabacked Commanders | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Commanders | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Commanders | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Panthers | 22c | 125$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…a04bbacked Panthers | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…2a65backed Panthers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…66c4backed Panthers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Panthers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c43…9a57backed Panthers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…dd15backed Panthers | 22c | 99.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…395abacked Panthers | 19c | 94.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…fb29backed Panthers | 20c | 93.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…cb01backed Panthers | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Commanders | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…756dbacked Commanders | 78c | 89.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d2…ed25backed Panthers | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…4978backed Commanders | 79c | 89.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2483…db2ebacked Panthers | 20c | 85.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…b71ebacked Panthers | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…89f6backed Commanders | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…8ae3backed Panthers | 21c | 64.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…4b4bbacked Commanders | 78c | 64.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Commanders | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…c663backed Panthers | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…336dbacked Panthers | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…6681backed Panthers | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Commanders | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…d1c0backed Panthers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b1…ca74backed Commanders | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2b1ebacked Commanders | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…8daabacked Commanders | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…f035backed Commanders | 77c | 40.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…2662backed Commanders | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 79 | 75.9%60 W · 19 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…0b96backed Commanders | 78c | 37.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Commanders | 77c | 32.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…3c44backed Commanders | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Commanders | 75c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…1089backed Commanders | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…1594backed Commanders | 79c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3026…cac2backed Commanders | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…1e5ebacked Commanders | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…cca8backed Commanders | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…122dbacked Commanders | 78c | 21.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff15…3189backed Commanders | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…c038backed Commanders | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…10e8backed Commanders | 78c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…85f2backed Commanders | 73c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…7b2abacked Commanders | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…46d4backed Commanders | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Commanders | 74c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…50bdbacked Commanders | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Commanders | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…c5abbacked Commanders | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2de4backed Commanders | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.