TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb752…85f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST3969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+114.7%+$34.64
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+83.7%+$38.17
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Will Derrick Henry be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.84
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+79.1%+$9.38
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+51.5%+$41.21
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$18.32
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+51.5%+$8.15
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+44.9%+$18.87
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Bengals vs. Titansbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+49.3%+$24.75
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+51.5%+$17
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+69.5%+$13.94
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+150%+$24
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+257%+$149.07
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.23
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.7
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+32.4%+$5.28
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.19
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$20.67
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.79
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.34
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.46
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+76.5%+$11.47
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$14.8
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$12.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+134.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+241.7%+$31.83
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times October 4-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+117.4%+$29.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.