NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86ec6bdeb264453c590ffe416963f6ae4eb559e8a818ae022a8e7df5b63cbb92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Bucks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Bucks | 62c | 19,983$12,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,330 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Bucks | 1c | 16,322$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.47 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs | 49c | 14,629$7,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.49 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Spurs | 43c | 12,901$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.18 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 22c | 10,070$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Bucks | 0c | 10,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bucks | 0c | 8,935$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 39c | 7,153$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.58 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 39c | 6,660$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Bucks | 57c | 5,775$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.57 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 48c | 4,508$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.13 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Bucks | 47c | 4,232$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 29c | 3,892$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.05 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Spurs | 44c | 3,701$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.03 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bucks | 56c | 3,540$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.53 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs | 44c | 3,455$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.8 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 7c | 2,752$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Spurs | 42c | 2,700$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Bucks | 58c | 2,699$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…ab2abacked Spurs | 43c | 2,500$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Spurs | 79c | 2,405$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Spurs | 44c | 2,014$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.11 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bucks | 2c | 2,004$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.28 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…9a6fbacked Spurs | 60c | 1,948$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Bucks | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 45c | 1,751$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…345dbacked Bucks | 11c | 1,668$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Spurs | 44c | 1,667$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 55c | 1,646$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.83 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Spurs | 52c | 1,604$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.43 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Bucks | 42c | 1,564$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.73 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 57c | 1,550$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.5 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bucks | 26c | 1,479$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…ba8dbacked Bucks | 54c | 1,476$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Bucks | 55c | 1,448$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Spurs | 43c | 1,433$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.21 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Bucks | 21c | 1,325$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.73 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Spurs | 61c | 1,307$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.62 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Bucks | 48c | 1,278$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.07 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Spurs | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Bucks | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs | 75c | 1,194$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.48 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Spurs | 41c | 1,106$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.54 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 56c | 1,101$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.21 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Bucks | 24c | 1,082$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Bucks | 57c | 998.98$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…8f2bbacked Bucks | 59c | 956$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Spurs | 46c | 874.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.01 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 45c | 869.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Spurs | 46c | 850$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 55c | 820.67$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.24 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks | 39c | 731.75$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Spurs | 44c | 717.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.67 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…003ebacked Spurs | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bucks | 36c | 696.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…d2c2backed Bucks | 57c | 685.44$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 56c | 632.68$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 55c | 616.13$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.15 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Spurs | 42c | 590$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 55c | 582.12$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.08 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Bucks | 50c | 513.42$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.51 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Bucks | 57c | 511$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.27 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Spurs | 43c | 510.45$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.96 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs | 43c | 504.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.41 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Spurs | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Spurs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Spurs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Spurs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Spurs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Spurs | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Bucks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Spurs | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Spurs | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Bucks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Spurs | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Spurs | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Spurs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Bucks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Spurs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…f8b6backed Spurs | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Bucks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Spurs | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…0982backed Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…7b58backed Bucks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…fcbdbacked Spurs | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.