NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x155cb89d2bb4faa63d1ae8d2f30dd1a8833bd3c55ae3d2bb2d11be19d4abb07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Kings, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Nuggets | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 27c | 15,116$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.71 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Kings | 11c | 11,140$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Kings | 1c | 8,767$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Kings | 6c | 7,200$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.42 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 6c | 7,093$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…ff0dbacked Kings | 27c | 6,596$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Kings | 16c | 6,436$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.73 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Nuggets | 73c | 5,463$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.64 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 24c | 5,423$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.73 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Kings | 1c | 4,700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Kings | 4c | 4,574$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 2c | 4,196$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…835cbacked Kings | 1c | 3,237$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 27c | 3,050$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Kings | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Kings | 9c | 2,927$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Kings | 29c | 2,908$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.45 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 74c | 2,759$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.14 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Nuggets | 75c | 2,566$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.56 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Nuggets | 73c | 2,544$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Kings | 1c | 2,328$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 2,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 12c | 2,248$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.46 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 74c | 2,057$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets | 72c | 1,704$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.07 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 73c | 1,431$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 25c | 1,423$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.16 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 73c | 1,420$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.38 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Kings | 31c | 1,311$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 26c | 1,207$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.82 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kings | 11c | 1,140$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 14c | 1,085$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Kings | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 74c | 990.93$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Kings | 4c | 985.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Kings | 27c | 812.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Kings | 26c | 787.69$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Kings | 1c | 751.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Kings | 20c | 750.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…11bfbacked Nuggets | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings | 25c | 710.82$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Nuggets | 76c | 661.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.45 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nuggets | 76c | 657.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Kings | 2c | 650.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Nuggets | 76c | 625$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Nuggets | 73c | 607.98$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed75…3dabbacked Kings | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings | 28c | 541.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.03 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Nuggets | 75c | 527.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 12c | 505$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 26c | 496.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 4c | 465.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Kings | 25c | 461.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Kings | 20c | 451.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Kings | 7c | 421.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings | 25c | 414.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Nuggets | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…5db5backed Kings | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…4933backed Kings | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 26c | 399.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Kings | 27c | 370.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae9…139bbacked Kings | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…f19ebacked Kings | 26c | 326.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…8a15backed Kings | 26c | 324.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 26c | 309.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Kings | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Kings | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Kings | 29c | 255$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Nuggets | 80c | 250.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…5af3backed Kings | 26c | 250.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…1b3cbacked Kings | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…e375backed Nuggets | 76c | 226.32$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…bcdebacked Nuggets | 75c | 221.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…20c6backed Kings | 26c | 221.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Kings | 5c | 212.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…6251backed Kings | 5c | 203.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4372backed Kings | 27c | 200.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Kings | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…e2e8backed Kings | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Kings | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…fe4bbacked Kings | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 73c | 199.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Kings | 25c | 197.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf850…886bbacked Kings | 27c | 192.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kings | 26c | 187$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Kings | 29c | 179.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…0a0abacked Kings | 15c | 169.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…4c35backed Kings | 26c | 165.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Nuggets | 75c | 165$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…bd14backed Nuggets | 76c | 161.66$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Kings | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.