NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67823031aea26260278bf0567683a4fdeefd46adef30ed04d4e36d0d43bebf2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 46c | 29,690$13,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,561.09 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Nuggets | 59c | 23,479$13,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,639.42 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Heat | 40c | 20,186$8,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.59 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Nuggets | 52c | 19,084$9,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,160.15 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 17c | 17,180$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Heat | 48c | 13,683$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,558 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…f3c1backed Heat | 0c | 13,003$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 34c | 7,512$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.6 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Nuggets | 50c | 7,418$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.11 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 14c | 6,796$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.26 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,694$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 66c | 6,118$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.41 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 48c | 5,891$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.05 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Nuggets | 51c | 5,090$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 27c | 5,005$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.53 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Heat | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,363$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.33 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Nuggets | 61c | 4,179$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.83 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 25c | 3,292$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.45 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 66c | 2,906$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.67 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 44c | 2,691$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.04 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets | 60c | 2,507$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.49 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 48c | 2,495$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.71 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 46c | 2,321$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.37 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…11d0backed Heat | 51c | 2,144$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Heat | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 52c | 1,890$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.72 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 1,840$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Heat | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Heat | 12c | 1,557$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 49c | 1,551$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.33 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 51c | 1,508$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.19 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Heat | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.98 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…d062backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,400$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 12c | 1,258$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…f21fbacked Heat | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Heat | 41c | 1,133$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.53 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 51c | 1,092$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.9 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Heat | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,000$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets | 55c | 978.7$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.41 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…f6d0backed Nuggets | 52c | 950$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…51afbacked Heat | 43c | 949.72$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Heat | 49c | 921.95$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4fddbacked Heat | 51c | 911.77$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 49c | 905$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Nuggets | 58c | 892.91$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.31 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 79c | 889.37$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Heat | 19c | 865$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…09f3backed Heat | 49c | 850$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 36c | 800$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Heat | 15c | 800$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 51c | 751.96$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nuggets | 48c | 749.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…90c0backed Nuggets | 77c | 649.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 5c | 616$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…8e60backed Heat | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Nuggets | 75c | 587.93$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 51c | 582.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Nuggets | 55c | 562.13$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Heat | 49c | 560$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Nuggets | 53c | 560$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…07d2backed Nuggets | 50c | 535.18$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Heat | 48c | 527.4$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Heat | 54c | 526.6$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Heat | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Heat | 21c | 498.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 47c | 485.47$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.33 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Nuggets | 48c | 479.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Nuggets | 51c | 471.94$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Heat | 44c | 470$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Heat | 50c | 452.94$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Heat | 48c | 432.71$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Heat | 12c | 422.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Heat | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…422cbacked Heat | 50c | 399.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 398.49$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 398.42$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 26c | 388.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Nuggets | 60c | 356.83$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 52c | 354.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Heat | 17c | 344.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…e880backed Heat | 44c | 344.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Heat | 48c | 335.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…e592backed Heat | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 45c | 295$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 37c | 272.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…b710backed Nuggets | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…a9acbacked Nuggets | 78c | 253.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 48c | 249.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Heat | 50c | 248.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed Nuggets | 48c | 244.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.