NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1b6a9cce447e3a51deff34dcd8350fbd3a9d2450968cda076bc0ca44c59f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 16c | 12,945$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.84 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Mavericks | 1c | 12,550$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Nuggets | 58c | 10,204$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.65 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks | 0c | 7,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 42c | 6,822$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.09 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…b5e1backed Mavericks | 40c | 4,945$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 23c | 4,894$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.41 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks | 28c | 4,808$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.42 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Mavericks | 40c | 4,580$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.01 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks | 2c | 3,517$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets | 62c | 3,200$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.97 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 39c | 3,000$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Mavericks | 38c | 2,810$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.94 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Mavericks | 41c | 2,800$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Nuggets | 61c | 2,800$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…7c4bbacked Nuggets | 60c | 2,780$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 61c | 2,702$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.8 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 15c | 2,648$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Mavericks | 1c | 2,455$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 11c | 2,284$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Mavericks | 39c | 2,163$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.2 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Mavericks | 12c | 2,146$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Mavericks | 5c | 2,078$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mavericks | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 59c | 1,971$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.06 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,882$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.37 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nuggets | 57c | 1,878$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.71 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 3c | 1,848$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…1067backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,834$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nuggets | 61c | 1,663$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.87 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Mavericks | 2c | 1,653$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,574$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.4 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,532$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.26 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,504$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447b…6d25backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,447$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 33c | 1,440$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.77 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Mavericks | 18c | 1,369$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 61c | 1,368$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.22 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,298$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets | 63c | 1,200$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Nuggets | 58c | 1,111$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.53 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…d771backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,105$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…f35ebacked Mavericks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…51afbacked Mavericks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedac…e765backed Nuggets | 62c | 999.95$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 65c | 900.92$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.9 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f0…bb27backed Mavericks | 2c | 889.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Mavericks | 4c | 865.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Nuggets | 72c | 791.54$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Nuggets | 61c | 790$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Mavericks | 7c | 764.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Mavericks | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Mavericks | 39c | 648$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.59 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Nuggets | 59c | 637.54$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.39 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Nuggets | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 41c | 536.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Mavericks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…e1d4backed Mavericks | 38c | 486.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Mavericks | 27c | 477.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 61c | 473.95$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nuggets | 76c | 458.19$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 61c | 456.09$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…31fbbacked Mavericks | 22c | 453.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mavericks | 36c | 448.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 66c | 419.02$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Nuggets | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Nuggets | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mavericks | 24c | 400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Nuggets | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Mavericks | 38c | 394.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Mavericks | 45c | 365.49$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Nuggets | 57c | 351.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c03abacked Mavericks | 41c | 350$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed Nuggets | 60c | 345$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 68c | 335.02$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Nuggets | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Mavericks | 30c | 332.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed Nuggets | 61c | 331.15$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Mavericks | 13c | 330$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Mavericks | 7c | 325.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…4795backed Nuggets | 59c | 320.34$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 121 | 63.6%77 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Mavericks | 40c | 318.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…1513backed Nuggets | 58c | 308.62$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 304.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 64c | 293.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…1d77backed Nuggets | 59c | 286.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Nuggets | 58c | 282.76$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…4059backed Nuggets | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Mavericks | 19c | 279.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Mavericks | 19c | 279.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…ee14backed Nuggets | 59c | 276.27$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks | 39c | 272.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…f76dbacked Nuggets | 59c | 267.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.