NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9318f1ba3d826acf2952f02e3ab02190d3ce30cc7afa2b7b97b1424cdffade51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Dolphins | 64c | 10,868$6,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,985.25 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cardinals | 34c | 7,602$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.86 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Dolphins | 64c | 7,334$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.85 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Dolphins | 79c | 6,501$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.19 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Cardinals | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.95 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins | 66c | 4,784$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.39 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cardinals | 35c | 4,365$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.25 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cardinals | 29c | 4,098$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.62 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Cardinals | 17c | 3,400$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cardinals | 20c | 3,326$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.08 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Dolphins | 66c | 3,273$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Cardinals | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Cardinals | 24c | 2,013$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Cardinals | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…a8c3backed Cardinals | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Cardinals | 34c | 1,152$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.22 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Cardinals | 24c | 900$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…28e5backed Cardinals | 36c | 834.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed Dolphins | 66c | 833.33$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Dolphins | 63c | 798.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Dolphins | 65c | 699.99$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Dolphins | 66c | 606$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f3…9cbcbacked Cardinals | 38c | 605.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Cardinals | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Cardinals | 38c | 600$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Dolphins | 22c | 559.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Cardinals | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Dolphins | 80c | 496.73$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.21 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Cardinals | 36c | 495.81$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Cardinals | 38c | 479$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Cardinals | 37c | 437.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Cardinals | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Cardinals | 35c | 382.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Cardinals | 11c | 379.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Dolphins | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8c…c0e4backed Cardinals | 36c | 349.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb823…e1a6backed Dolphins | 66c | 349.15$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Dolphins | 67c | 328.18$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…1525backed Cardinals | 36c | 307.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1564…8668backed Cardinals | 29c | 298.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Cardinals | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Dolphins | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Cardinals | 22c | 249.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Dolphins | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Dolphins | 64c | 222.23$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…eff0backed Cardinals | 37c | 211.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Dolphins | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Cardinals | 19c | 195.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…1728backed Dolphins | 66c | 190.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Dolphins | 68c | 177.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…31bdbacked Dolphins | 66c | 168.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Cardinals | 36c | 165.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Dolphins | 65c | 160$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Dolphins | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Dolphins | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Cardinals | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Cardinals | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Cardinals | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Dolphins | 66c | 134$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Cardinals | 30c | 125.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Cardinals | 41c | 122.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Cardinals | 22c | 114.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…558dbacked Dolphins | 66c | 113.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Cardinals | 35c | 111$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…9b16backed Cardinals | 22c | 110$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Cardinals | 22c | 109.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Dolphins | 65c | 106.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Dolphins | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Dolphins | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Cardinals | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Dolphins | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Cardinals | 34c | 98.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cardinals | 25c | 98.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…a222backed Cardinals | 31c | 96.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Dolphins | 64c | 96.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Cardinals | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Cardinals | 30c | 78.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Cardinals | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Cardinals | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Cardinals | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Dolphins | 68c | 73.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Cardinals | 31c | 73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Cardinals | 34c | 73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Cardinals | 55c | 61.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Cardinals | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Cardinals | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Cardinals | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Cardinals | 35c | 56.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Cardinals | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Cardinals | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…e2e0backed Cardinals | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed Dolphins | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…8d6fbacked Cardinals | 35c | 44.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +386.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…5290backed Cardinals | 36c | 42.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Dolphins | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.