TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Browns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bengalsof Bengals, Browns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a64…4430backed Browns30c7,078$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.6422638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Browns30c4,593$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.0632438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Browns31c4,055$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.8327339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Browns1c3,670$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.233328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Bengals69c3,658$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.946350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Bengals69c3,226$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bengals77c2,906$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.1214457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns32c1,621$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.836246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Browns22c1,599$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.5244246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Browns39c1,311$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Browns29c1,112$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.486233.9%21 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc910…5e8dbacked Browns22c1,025$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.731553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb626…e748backed Bengals71c999.36$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed Bengals76c960.67$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.812871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Bengals72c899.98$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9910467.3%70 W · 34 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb8b…b7fcbacked Browns32c701.34$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed Browns18c651.27$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Bengals69c645$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9519864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Bengals69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1866354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Bengals69c587.47$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1124738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed Bengals71c513.72$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.722857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Browns27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Browns30c498.56$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.569645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Browns32c425.69$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Bengals73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9618658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fe…809ebacked Browns32c410$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c1…44f5backed Browns31c392.71$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Bengals70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1413260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Bengals71c345$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.056448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4660…9e3abacked Browns32c309.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Browns9c240.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6752828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Browns27c237.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.425643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e948backed Bengals77c227.27$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.274065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Bengals68c221.3$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8713751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Bengals70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291675%12 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd157…2b69backed Bengals69c212.9$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66a…be53backed Bengals69c210$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Bengals70c206.96$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9611949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…774abacked Bengals70c204$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bengals70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6038459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Bengals69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…0d88backed Bengals75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Browns20c191.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.32035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca5…3e76backed Bengals69c186.23$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Bengals70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Bengals73c178.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.615671.4%40 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcb…a83bbacked Browns23c173.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.643026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa901…f0c7backed Bengals71c171.46$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Bengals77c166.86$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3812249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Bengals69c160.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9510256.9%58 W · 44 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Bengals68c156.16$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9739242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…5536backed Browns31c156$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-75.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e0…0bc0backed Bengals71c146.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.421080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0355…4c8cbacked Bengals70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Bengals71c141$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.895766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Bengals71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0353…9741backed Bengals71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbfc…cd91backed Browns29c140.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Browns36c139.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-78.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Browns29c139.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.221713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81e0…611dbacked Bengals73c137.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.473452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Bengals73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9911673.3%85 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a49…6681backed Bengals71c129.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.581020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Browns31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa0…08e3backed Browns32c125.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70e…1eeabacked Browns32c124.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Browns9c120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41147.9%9 W · 105 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf366…3194backed Bengals70c118.86$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e53…89f6backed Browns30c117.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98c2…9326backed Bengals70c115$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…456dbacked Browns31c115$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Browns32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Browns31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3128436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Bengals79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2137556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed Bengals68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858a…b00dbacked Browns20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Bengals65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2402…54a0backed Bengals69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Bengals69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…62f4backed Bengals70c95.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Bengals70c92.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8620758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…be30backed Browns32c87.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fcd…8c5dbacked Bengals69c87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ba…4978backed Bengals70c85.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3175…b823backed Browns31c84.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc33…4894backed Browns30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…faa4backed Browns31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a27…d1e3backed Bengals71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Browns29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25628.6%16 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0094…4551backed Bengals69c79.87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.762466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Bengals64c78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.087844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Browns28c74.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Bengals70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4315858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda3…5e71backed Bengals70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4f…69ccbacked Bengals70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa45…0eb0backed Bengals69c71.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.011560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c32…09dfbacked Bengals71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422475%18 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef2…c1edbacked Bengals71c69.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.34667.4%31 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d1…7d08backed Bengals69c69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Bengals73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.