NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c1385835cfb34226197babc2c7acd129f2969f3933c6f56778eeb3f327dd95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Raiders, Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f23…08babacked Raiders | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Rams | 76c | 28,031$21,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.86 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…60e3backed Raiders | 26c | 19,820$5,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,153.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…d5eebacked Rams | 74c | 19,630$14,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…6946backed Rams | 74c | 17,260$12,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…e6a3backed Rams | 74c | 14,517$10,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders | 18c | 11,607$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.91 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Raiders | 34c | 10,752$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…88e9backed Rams | 74c | 7,950$5,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Raiders | 24c | 6,399$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raiders | 24c | 5,255$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.37 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Raiders | 23c | 5,197$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.39 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Raiders | 25c | 3,884$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.12 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders | 9c | 3,374$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rams | 74c | 3,186$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.77 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…e24ebacked Raiders | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…0d19backed Rams | 74c | 2,800$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Raiders | 26c | 2,737$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.32 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…e46ebacked Raiders | 27c | 2,736$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Rams | 76c | 2,560$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.31 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raiders | 12c | 2,500$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.12 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Raiders | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Rams | 64c | 2,362$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rams | 74c | 2,170$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.1 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Rams | 74c | 1,966$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.99 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raiders | 10c | 1,582$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Raiders | 23c | 1,425$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Raiders | 16c | 1,293$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Raiders | 7c | 1,293$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Rams | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…8c5ebacked Rams | 79c | 1,172$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Raiders | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Raiders | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raiders | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Raiders | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raiders | 18c | 903.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Rams | 77c | 870$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Rams | 69c | 819.19$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.53 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Rams | 72c | 795.64$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rams | 77c | 750$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 23c | 630.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Rams | 74c | 600.04$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Raiders | 29c | 599.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Raiders | 27c | 537.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rams | 71c | 520.03$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raiders | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Raiders | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Rams | 80c | 455.22$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…cf1bbacked Raiders | 17c | 428.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Raiders | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…c86dbacked Rams | 77c | 415.2$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdb…4a63backed Raiders | 24c | 415.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Raiders | 15c | 409.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…7477backed Rams | 77c | 401.03$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Raiders | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raiders | 23c | 399.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…78e6backed Raiders | 26c | 396.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Rams | 71c | 392.82$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Raiders | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Raiders | 13c | 379.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…6267backed Raiders | 18c | 341.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Raiders | 24c | 336.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…8501backed Rams | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Rams | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Raiders | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Raiders | 26c | 291.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…6c7abacked Rams | 62c | 276.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed Rams | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Raiders | 12c | 257.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Raiders | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Raiders | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…9c8ebacked Rams | 74c | 240.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Raiders | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2b1ebacked Rams | 80c | 237.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b755backed Rams | 80c | 229.21$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…aa6ebacked Raiders | 30c | 218.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…3e76backed Rams | 77c | 217.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9a…6250backed Raiders | 26c | 217$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Rams | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rams | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Rams | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…b00dbacked Raiders | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Raiders | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Rams | 76c | 197.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e67…be5cbacked Raiders | 26c | 192.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…b71ebacked Raiders | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Raiders | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Rams | 74c | 182$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Raiders | 25c | 171.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Rams | 77c | 171.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…a85bbacked Raiders | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Raiders | 19c | 162.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Raiders | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Rams | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…dc52backed Raiders | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…4894backed Rams | 74c | 149.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…84fbbacked Raiders | 14c | 145.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Rams | 77c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Rams | 77c | 138.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…8fabbacked Raiders | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.