NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02b0a30d5cc093254ea4b9e634c1d52b98e0eeeb7858d0bc30ec4db2badfe54f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Dolphins, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6356…1885backed Dolphins | 39c | 7,347$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.16 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Dolphins | 40c | 5,033$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.37 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Colts | 61c | 3,840$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.6 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Dolphins | 33c | 3,356$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.74 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins | 41c | 3,018$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.34 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Dolphins | 40c | 2,992$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Dolphins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Colts | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Dolphins | 44c | 1,503$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.78 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Colts | 37c | 1,345$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.82 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colts | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Colts | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Colts | 58c | 696.86$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.68 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Colts | 29c | 504.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Colts | 50c | 494.44$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.36 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Colts | 59c | 488$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Dolphins | 30c | 485.69$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Colts | 62c | 484.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c1…44f5backed Dolphins | 40c | 477.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Colts | 60c | 444$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…b005backed Colts | 57c | 420$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colts | 32c | 401$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.86 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Colts | 49c | 372.38$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…6952backed Dolphins | 42c | 334.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…7553backed Colts | 61c | 313.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Colts | 60c | 304.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Colts | 72c | 299.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Dolphins | 38c | 299.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Colts | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Colts | 36c | 257$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…3e76backed Colts | 59c | 255.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1235…7f74backed Dolphins | 55c | 255$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Colts | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Colts | 61c | 237.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…caeabacked Colts | 60c | 233.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Colts | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colts | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Colts | 61c | 199.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Colts | 59c | 199.79$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Dolphins | 74c | 196.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…6334backed Dolphins | 60c | 189.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc9…1957backed Colts | 60c | 178.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…4c8cbacked Colts | 29c | 169.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Colts | 64c | 169.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Colts | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Colts | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Colts | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Dolphins | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…1b97backed Colts | 60c | 153.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colts | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Dolphins | 39c | 149.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…4894backed Colts | 60c | 148.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Dolphins | 71c | 140$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…3792backed Dolphins | 38c | 135$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…a85bbacked Dolphins | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…07d0backed Colts | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…f2f1backed Dolphins | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…596fbacked Colts | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Dolphins | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Dolphins | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Colts | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Colts | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Colts | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…c663backed Dolphins | 41c | 99.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Colts | 61c | 98.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ca…48bebacked Dolphins | 42c | 84.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Colts | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Colts | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Dolphins | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…b5f4backed Colts | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Colts | 59c | 74.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Colts | 68c | 73.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Dolphins | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…a6b5backed Colts | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4adc…7639backed Dolphins | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Colts | 59c | 64.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Colts | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…df2fbacked Dolphins | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…64f4backed Colts | 61c | 60.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…7d08backed Colts | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…4a88backed Colts | 61c | 58.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…f4bebacked Colts | 60c | 56.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b755backed Dolphins | 74c | 55.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Dolphins | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed Colts | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…d1e3backed Colts | 61c | 52.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Colts | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dolphins | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Colts | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Colts | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd003…2aa1backed Colts | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Colts | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c43…9a57backed Colts | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Colts | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…6fe3backed Colts | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…c038backed Dolphins | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…f035backed Colts | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…ded5backed Dolphins | 42c | 49.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…761abacked Dolphins | 41c | 49.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…395abacked Dolphins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.