TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Islanders, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d62…2af9backed Islanders42c32,860$13,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,801.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e5…e989backed Blue Jackets58c32,490$18,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,645.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…eb00backed Islanders42c26,610$11,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,176.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6190…0e7abacked Blue Jackets58c26,350$15,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…9930backed Blue Jackets61c26,200$15,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x826f…6e3dbacked Islanders39c26,200$10,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,21810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Blue Jackets65c21,315$13,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,500.614763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Islanders36c14,220$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.2716645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Islanders35c8,085$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.5913845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders38c6,073$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.4249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b59…5f20backed Islanders47c5,470$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…1004backed Blue Jackets53c5,470$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+70.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Blue Jackets63c4,899$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.6927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders41c4,755$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.711,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets68c4,221$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.691,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22539752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Islanders36c3,143$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.4820147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Islanders37c2,476$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders38c2,471$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.3237738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Blue Jackets57c1,980$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.42040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets57c1,968$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.171,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Blue Jackets63c1,964$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.510145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Islanders43c1,950$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6acd…d838backed Blue Jackets62c1,608$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f28…b992backed Islanders43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Islanders37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blue Jackets62c1,247$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets67c1,037$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.963,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blue Jackets65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jackets58c934.74$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.5913348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked Islanders36c799.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jackets64c741.54$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Islanders38c731.53$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.8111751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jackets59c707.29$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59df…81bdbacked Blue Jackets58c630$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Blue Jackets65c579$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.652045%9 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Blue Jackets54c457.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.666850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Islanders38c428.95$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1633148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Islanders41c427.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4710627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9711…59a2backed Islanders44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Islanders43c349.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Blue Jackets53c339.68$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6529748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jackets57c325$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7535349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders35c308$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jackets65c300$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders39c300$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Islanders35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-65.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf587…222bbacked Blue Jackets57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5945…98b0backed Blue Jackets57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jackets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Blue Jackets65c188.87$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.992055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jackets58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Islanders40c168.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jackets60c167.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.831,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Blue Jackets65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8533145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Blue Jackets65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Islanders35c141.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2138744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1764…02f6backed Islanders42c141.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jackets64c137.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Islanders26c131.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3460042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blue Jackets63c125$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Blue Jackets64c124.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.823354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jackets64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…799abacked Islanders45c117.87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.041040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40c…5f5dbacked Islanders44c117.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Islanders36c116.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc24…13c4backed Blue Jackets52c116$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…99a1backed Islanders48c116$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…0982backed Islanders48c116$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ff…9a01backed Blue Jackets52c116$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb559…0f9cbacked Islanders46c110.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…eadabacked Islanders46c109.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7726…ff09backed Islanders48c109$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2822…d3fdbacked Blue Jackets52c109$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801e…fc0abacked Blue Jackets52c108$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…a416backed Islanders48c108$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda92…cafbbacked Islanders48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ceb…f50ebacked Blue Jackets52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders34c104$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3358346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13bf…2a14backed Islanders46c100.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef3…d60ebacked Islanders36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbb…377abacked Islanders40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb80a…f2e0backed Islanders48c99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…0a26backed Blue Jackets52c99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d8…bd0ebacked Blue Jackets55c96.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01ef…d9f3backed Blue Jackets57c96.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…8931backed Blue Jackets57c93.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2b…94a6backed Islanders44c92.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.781040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f7…0a8dbacked Islanders44c92.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x270b…c73fbacked Blue Jackets57c91.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Blue Jackets55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.917545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713a…5f09backed Blue Jackets52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Blue Jackets64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b18…b7aabacked Islanders48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412d…67fabacked Blue Jackets57c89.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09c0…5b10backed Islanders46c88.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.891361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832a…d408backed Blue Jackets56c88.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x450d…c440backed Islanders48c88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.