NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dccfe5300b532ca67401316a53e239b3ba3f37e44d1721e3110505ac73936df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Red Wings, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Red Wings | 39c | 12,450$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.47 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 6,177$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.23 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 6,075$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.79 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 4,063$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 38c | 3,817$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.45 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 3,454$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.11 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 3,331$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.01 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 41c | 3,271$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.57 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings | 39c | 2,832$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.98 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,515$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.87 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings | 40c | 2,307$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.99 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 42c | 2,065$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.57 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,998$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Red Wings | 45c | 1,998$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,752$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,706$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.31 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,688$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.82 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,600$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.99 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,551$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.32 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,388$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.99 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,100$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.97 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,000$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 999.51$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…f574backed Red Wings | 39c | 917.04$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings | 39c | 900$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 45c | 885.87$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.33 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 866.01$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 777$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 757.7$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Red Wings | 41c | 749.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 703.07$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.63 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 644.63$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.07 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 574.62$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.29 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Wings | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 510.84$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Red Wings | 39c | 486.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 446.55$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Red Wings | 40c | 440$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Red Wings | 40c | 427.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 420$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…5f89backed Red Wings | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 343.66$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.66 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Wings | 40c | 289.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 66c | 258.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.25 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 226.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…fb0dbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 221.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 217.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…a5afbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…79c8backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 204.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Red Wings | 42c | 203.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Red Wings | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Red Wings | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 197.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 181.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…52b5backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0a…b8e0backed Red Wings | 50c | 175.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…c9f3backed Red Wings | 40c | 169.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…b82dbacked Red Wings | 40c | 158.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…3697backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 150.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…2d6ebacked Red Wings | 40c | 145.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…e983backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 141.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Red Wings | 39c | 133.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…b0b1backed Red Wings | 40c | 131.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Red Wings | 40c | 126.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Red Wings | 42c | 119.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…3f78backed Red Wings | 46c | 117.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…43b2backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 117$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…bb53backed Red Wings | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…47e5backed Red Wings | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…dd29backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 116$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc650…d199backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 113$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…2dd7backed Red Wings | 39c | 113$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf643…fbf6backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 112.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…d8bcbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…abb0backed Red Wings | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c0…59bcbacked Red Wings | 46c | 108.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…8a3fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 108.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…e62fbacked Red Wings | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fef…8b8abacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…06cbbacked Red Wings | 40c | 104$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…74d4backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…e5e6backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…7412backed Red Wings | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…cdb2backed Red Wings | 43c | 102.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…f7dbbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a75…ff83backed Red Wings | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 99.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…d38ebacked Red Wings | 38c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…26eabacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…c2d8backed Red Wings | 44c | 94.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…5271backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…89c1backed Red Wings | 40c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.