NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82e3c8093144a3c3ed86461124bfabe1c39cadae114772b9994b9e23f4ba6ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked 76ers | 62c | 1,273$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.02 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked 76ers | 10c | 1,070$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 39c | 909.43$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.87 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed 76ers | 1c | 862.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed 76ers | 3c | 788.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed 76ers | 57c | 576.78$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.76 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Spurs | 39c | 575.82$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.25 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed 76ers | 61c | 575.82$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.25 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Spurs | 43c | 548.84$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked 76ers | 39c | 447$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ef…30f5backed Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked 76ers | 34c | 164.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…7743backed 76ers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed 76ers | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Spurs | 39c | 119.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Spurs | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs | 36c | 85.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Spurs | 38c | 69.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed 76ers | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Spurs | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Spurs | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…1b48backed Spurs | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Spurs | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked 76ers | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Spurs | 38c | 47.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Spurs | 39c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…ad69backed Spurs | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed 76ers | 63c | 38.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs | 37c | 38.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Spurs | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ea…324cbacked Spurs | 38c | 36.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…9cedbacked Spurs | 38c | 35.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…52a2backed 76ers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…9d12backed Spurs | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed 76ers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…c379backed 76ers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked 76ers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Spurs | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed 76ers | 63c | 24.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed 76ers | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…f524backed Spurs | 63c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…0300backed 76ers | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…fe91backed 76ers | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed 76ers | 61c | 18.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…72e0backed 76ers | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…5aa2backed 76ers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed 76ers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.