NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8451f06e641a2b3a7738a4b46da66ffcef1303f089eeb36098f866c920bcb4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Cavaliers | 76c | 30,224$23,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,158.17 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Cavaliers | 71c | 29,929$21,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,712.12 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 19,423$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 16,256$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.81 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 12,571$9,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.57 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 9,501$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.44 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 9,233$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.69 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 9,047$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Cavaliers | 79c | 8,843$7,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.1 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 8,439$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.18 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 7,887$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.8 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 7,345$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.24 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers | 73c | 7,000$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.5 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 6,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 5,806$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Cavaliers | 71c | 5,704$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.12 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…0c0bbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 3,364$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…2c7ebacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 3,193$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Cavaliers | 77c | 3,118$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.75 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers | 73c | 3,100$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.23 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 3,045$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers | 70c | 2,908$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.06 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 2,517$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.27 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 2,429$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.99 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 2,215$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.2 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cavaliers | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…216cbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,900$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…23c2backed Cavaliers | 69c | 1,900$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,867$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.33 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,783$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,726$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,621$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,550$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,525$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.82 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Cavaliers | 69c | 1,520$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Cavaliers | 66c | 1,440$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.01 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,436$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 69c | 1,400$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.25 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Trail Blazers | 4c | 1,350$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,320$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.9 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,293$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.21 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 1,121$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.91 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 1,119$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.89 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,070$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.1 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 925$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.05 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Cavaliers | 76c | 896$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.36 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…b99abacked Cavaliers | 70c | 856.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 850$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Cavaliers | 68c | 833.1$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.47 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 793.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 782.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.73 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Cavaliers | 69c | 727.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 656.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 649.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 642.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.14 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cavaliers | 69c | 640$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Cavaliers | 80c | 620$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 602.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Cavaliers | 70c | 599.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 69c | 555.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 529.03$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 487.66$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.17 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Cavaliers | 79c | 467.26$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Cavaliers | 77c | 465.71$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Cavaliers | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 381.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 336.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 331.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Cavaliers | 70c | 320$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…35adbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 315.46$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 303.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Cavaliers | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cavaliers | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 280$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Cavaliers | 73c | 251.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 248.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 238.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 224.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…e156backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 221.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…27dbbacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 212.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.