Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8fccf41980a6e5243b8f1d779b09bd1b0f72bde6f5ac67f5ffd7170e408ab48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 23c | 3,326$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.65 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 40c | 1,748$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 75c | 991.4$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 61c | 872.84$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.4 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 26c | 820$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 59c | 619.21$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.31 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 60c | 533.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 470.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 282.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 60c | 198.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 23c | 183.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 66c | 130.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 44c | 104.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 62c | 100.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 42c | 94.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…f468backed Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Yes | 60c | 89.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 56c | 88.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked Yes | 58c | 68.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 49c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…7803backed Yes | 59c | 59.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 66c | 54.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…918cbacked Yes | 61c | 41.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971a…5c46backed Yes | 60c | 39.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 35c | 35.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…3547backed Yes | 55c | 32.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdedf…f02cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.