NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79ec5f38bcce1afc35be6b0ce14c42dcd396ecb6ea2f31ff3a127772b3499b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Grizzlies, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 711 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nuggets | 67c | 38,319$25,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,581.84 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Grizzlies | 56c | 28,257$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,700 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 51c | 23,106$11,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,327.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Nuggets | 72c | 18,891$13,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,241.59 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Grizzlies | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 54c | 13,578$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,298.97 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…ae48backed Grizzlies | 29c | 9,151$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.98 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 71c | 8,428$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.83 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grizzlies | 30c | 8,300$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.26 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 7,204$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.98 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,789$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.13 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 6,774$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.05 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Grizzlies | 46c | 5,896$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.36 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,699$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.69 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 44c | 4,401$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.67 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Grizzlies | 57c | 4,268$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.62 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Grizzlies | 31c | 4,048$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 30c | 3,763$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.02 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Nuggets | 62c | 3,715$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.33 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Nuggets | 43c | 3,663$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.84 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,824$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.69 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets | 42c | 2,754$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.29 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,575$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.19 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 72c | 2,548$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.61 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Grizzlies | 42c | 2,413$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.75 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,411$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.06 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 2,300$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.99 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 71c | 2,000$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,924$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.46 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,676$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Nuggets | 73c | 1,612$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,541$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.44 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Grizzlies | 27c | 1,540$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 1,427$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets | 72c | 1,375$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.62 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 1,253$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.75 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,103$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.76 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 37c | 975.68$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.68 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Grizzlies | 63c | 975.68$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.68 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Grizzlies | 65c | 926.29$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 137 | 66.4%91 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Grizzlies | 10c | 839.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Nuggets | 72c | 735$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 49c | 718.1$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.23 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 45c | 708.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.52 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nuggets | 58c | 601$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.49 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 43c | 570.26$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.43 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Grizzlies | 46c | 556.02$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.17 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Nuggets | 70c | 539.93$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Nuggets | 37c | 535.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.44 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 527.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 72c | 522.87$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 518.85$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Nuggets | 33c | 500$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Nuggets | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Grizzlies | 54c | 429.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 426.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets | 71c | 402.45$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 396.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Grizzlies | 20c | 377.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…b588backed Grizzlies | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Nuggets | 54c | 350$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Nuggets | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 349.73$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Grizzlies | 25c | 325$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Grizzlies | 69c | 304.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Nuggets | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 299.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 287.92$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Grizzlies | 37c | 269.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Grizzlies | 30c | 265.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Nuggets | 63c | 259.76$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Nuggets | 60c | 256.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Nuggets | 40c | 247.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Grizzlies | 28c | 245.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nuggets | 54c | 211.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 208.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Nuggets | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Grizzlies | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Grizzlies | 28c | 194.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.