Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain beat Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e64ea7ae597b600a3a87e9f1cc6829120df624df3f831c8e61d089f80e0233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 73c | 14,650$10,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.07 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 24c | 13,531$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 27c | 6,742$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.1 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 69c | 3,780$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 30c | 2,967$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 46c | 2,774$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.77 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 75c | 2,692$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…72f9backed No | 4c | 2,430$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +111%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 26c | 2,200$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.99 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 71c | 1,645$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.07 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 70c | 1,606$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.9 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 76c | 1,115$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.56 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 914$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 34c | 854.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…0df2backed No | 5c | 834.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Yes | 70c | 819.4$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd401…963bbacked No | 4c | 817.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed No | 32c | 699.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…dadebacked Yes | 76c | 548.5$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Yes | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 5c | 441.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.53 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…5095backed No | 6c | 374.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 263.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c9…140cbacked Yes | 69c | 262.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…a70ebacked No | 15c | 235.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…90d9backed No | 28c | 190.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…bdd8backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bb…488bbacked Yes | 69c | 162.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 30c | 130.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053c…8734backed Yes | 76c | 130.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes | 71c | 124.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…6617backed No | 17c | 122.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Yes | 68c | 119.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…dc84backed No | 13c | 117.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…71e4backed No | 31c | 113.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…86adbacked No | 12c | 110.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed Yes | 68c | 94.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…8a28backed Yes | 70c | 92.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…54d4backed No | 13c | 89.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…8f2fbacked Yes | 75c | 88.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…8cb0backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a1…9fcebacked No | 36c | 61.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 75c | 53.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 71c | 52.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…7f43backed Yes | 74c | 39.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…312bbacked Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…3a69backed Yes | 69c | 30.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c4…28abbacked Yes | 69c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…d105backed Yes | 77c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…f847backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain beat Switzerland?this page
- Will Switzerland beat Spain?No won
- Will the match between Spain and Switzerland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.