Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Roma beat AZ Alkmaar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395000c13f7b52377138b775d507b042314a9b5b51e4f9c2adb9e0b64bc65ac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 52c | 12,555$6,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.4 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 48c | 12,055$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,786.4 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 47c | 1,001$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…78c4backed Yes | 39c | 939.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 671.42$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 62c | 523.06$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 54c | 460.13$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 426$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 299.73$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 53c | 146.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 114.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 53c | 94.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed No | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 47c | 52.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…98c5backed No | 52c | 45.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc496…75bcbacked Yes | 46c | 42.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…c3cdbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc4…ef9ebacked No | 53c | 39.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…6869backed Yes | 47c | 39.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…05aabacked No | 57c | 37.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…1d6bbacked No | 55c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…9906backed Yes | 45c | 37.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…b524backed No | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…a80abacked Yes | 43c | 36.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked No | 53c | 36.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3d…5da0backed Yes | 40c | 36.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa169…0ebabacked No | 60c | 36.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…207fbacked No | 57c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…fa08backed Yes | 38c | 33.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…4117backed No | 56c | 32.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…b7acbacked Yes | 44c | 32.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda4…74dabacked Yes | 43c | 29.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dda…e576backed No | 57c | 29.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…495dbacked Yes | 40c | 26.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…73d7backed No | 57c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…2ba1backed Yes | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…07f9backed No | 62c | 25.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 48c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…71dabacked No | 65c | 22.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…cef0backed No | 57c | 22.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…08b2backed No | 54c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…bc24backed No | 56c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…3796backed No | 57c | 20.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…cb6cbacked No | 62c | 16.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…8668backed No | 62c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma beat AZ Alkmaar?this page
- Will AZ Alkmaar beat AS Roma?Yes won
- Will the match between AZ Alkmaar and AS Roma end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.