NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf42b3291edbcb6f0d2d7379d0d0e95fd4c2ad9511f1df9a79388466b09b6ee6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Flyers, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers | 40c | 4,905$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.13 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Sabres | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sabres | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Flyers | 5c | 3,409$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Sabres | 57c | 2,015$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Flyers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 40c | 1,901$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.47 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…bc74backed Sabres | 58c | 1,360$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…92a0backed Flyers | 42c | 1,360$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,232$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Flyers | 24c | 1,227$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,165$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.48 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers | 40c | 1,148$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.41 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Flyers | 4c | 1,133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Sabres | 61c | 777$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers | 37c | 695.6$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.25 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Flyers | 18c | 565.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flyers | 19c | 508.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sabres | 57c | 499.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sabres | 79c | 467.33$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 7c | 439.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Flyers | 39c | 427.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Flyers | 41c | 392.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres | 75c | 373.59$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Flyers | 42c | 349.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Flyers | 42c | 341.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers | 4c | 296.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 41c | 286.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Sabres | 56c | 267.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Flyers | 11c | 264$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 57c | 252.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Flyers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 6c | 246.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Flyers | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Sabres | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Flyers | 41c | 138.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Sabres | 59c | 131.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17b…1d31backed Flyers | 43c | 126.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Flyers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…b1fbbacked Flyers | 43c | 124.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…8e7cbacked Flyers | 43c | 124.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddda…328bbacked Flyers | 43c | 124.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…218dbacked Flyers | 43c | 120.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…0db2backed Flyers | 43c | 119.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c53…278abacked Flyers | 33c | 119.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 77c | 117.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a0…b559backed Sabres | 58c | 117$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0e…1d72backed Flyers | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3f6ebacked Flyers | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e90…eb5cbacked Sabres | 58c | 117$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…407cbacked Flyers | 42c | 114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…6fb8backed Sabres | 58c | 114$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…daa8backed Sabres | 58c | 114$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…8ae4backed Flyers | 42c | 114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…bd93backed Flyers | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…c1d7backed Sabres | 58c | 113$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…db9fbacked Flyers | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…f6ffbacked Flyers | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…92d2backed Sabres | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…9b68backed Sabres | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…c801backed Sabres | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…ce71backed Flyers | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…87d8backed Flyers | 43c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…372abacked Sabres | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…482ebacked Flyers | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…5f2abacked Sabres | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…f3fabacked Sabres | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…9497backed Sabres | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…7ee7backed Flyers | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…47cebacked Flyers | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…2b6fbacked Sabres | 58c | 106$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…06efbacked Flyers | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc84…107cbacked Sabres | 58c | 106$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea73…2702backed Flyers | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…e0b3backed Sabres | 58c | 105$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fe…bddcbacked Flyers | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…e811backed Sabres | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…8f71backed Flyers | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…4b09backed Flyers | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…fce4backed Sabres | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…93cfbacked Sabres | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…321cbacked Flyers | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Flyers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d32…b2bfbacked Sabres | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…258dbacked Flyers | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…4798backed Sabres | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…42e7backed Flyers | 42c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…67f0backed Sabres | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…e163backed Sabres | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c2…fd23backed Flyers | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…5fddbacked Flyers | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…e48abacked Sabres | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…455fbacked Flyers | 42c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…296dbacked Sabres | 58c | 93.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…95a9backed Sabres | 58c | 93.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a79…8a67backed Sabres | 58c | 91.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…2751backed Sabres | 58c | 91.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…f57cbacked Sabres | 58c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.