Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Slavia Praha beat Frankfurt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2630de44542407b82fe56d912ddfe455fef4006a3e1d9317e03e8d20eaf06c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc55e…77d2backed Yes | 27c | 1,853$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 73c | 1,501$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 23c | 204.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 75c | 144.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 24c | 133.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…d323backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Yes | 25c | 118.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 76c | 110.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…c7fbbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 73c | 70.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…5aedbacked No | 77c | 66.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd633…1198backed Yes | 25c | 58.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…dd01backed Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…633bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed No | 76c | 38.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa153…4e37backed No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…88f6backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slavia Praha beat Frankfurt?this page
- Will Frankfurt beat Slavia Praha?Yes won
- Will the match between Frankfurt and Slavia Praha end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.