TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes73c137,287$100,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,075.7610650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked No27c64,975$17,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,431.761741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No26c29,339$7,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,804.119037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No28c26,732$7,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,212.1911657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No28c8,742$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,290.8940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No28c8,021$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,805.5314659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No28c5,874$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,214.0640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No20c5,375$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.09825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed No27c4,657$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.62846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No30c3,718$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.4268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Yes73c2,658$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes7c2,174$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes72c1,549$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.175641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes69c1,330$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.997651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes76c1,053$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes74c1,017$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.2879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes71c985.2$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.494926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes38c769.8$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.647825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No28c735.25$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5298362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes52c708.52$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4329044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.672548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No28c604.85$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.498145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ce1…ab5cbacked Yes71c603.93$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9387…ce77backed No29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb1…73eebacked Yes70c499.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3714…d2a4backed No31c490.19$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81f…aa42backed Yes71c490.18$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes76c458.02$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8115554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes34c401$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.349238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes71c374.14$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6418433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes22c340$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.47839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Yes72c333.33$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes72c312.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcadc…097cbacked Yes72c298.61$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8a…9aeabacked No74c288.19$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes14c278.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4312149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Yes71c264.79$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c254.82$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4742240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes71c250$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked No60c228.66$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.354560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes71c211.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14229653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes72c193.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.542437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2d6…e85bbacked Yes72c193.59$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes71c180.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0329643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes69c179.06$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.044537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes72c175.07$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.163748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes67c156.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.434742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b12…aba8backed Yes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.56944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed No29c150$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953c…9034backed Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd829…3fc4backed Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes23c134.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No58c126$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No29c123.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa618…4fcebacked Yes71c123.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.47366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes71c112.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Yes71c112.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801540%6 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-40.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes71c112$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5220447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6915636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked Yes71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes68c85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-75.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes69c84.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0418232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes71c76.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc83d…dd18backed Yes71c73.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes50c72.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.013732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1eb…3471backed No33c71.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x259a…991dbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d73…a285backed No29c65.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.76944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Yes78c64.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf847…aa05backed Yes72c62.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…c64fbacked Yes71c57.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b2d…b288backed No32c57.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+143.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.721463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9949…3f3bbacked Yes70c49.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa51…ebcdbacked Yes71c49.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4a0…15e1backed Yes72c46.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b89…53c9backed Yes72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-74.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes73c41.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…1888backed No30c40.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…8dcabacked No29c40.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb49a…a957backed Yes73c39.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd713…487cbacked Yes71c34.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…793abacked Yes72c33.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd767…50bebacked Yes71c32.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.