Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f3f69dd3c4d4cb5af0a4c047794ba1069499feadfdcd6fda6bfcd82f2812a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 5,010$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.2 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 12c | 799.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 11c | 517.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 11c | 324.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Yes | 12c | 293.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 12c | 221.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 14c | 200.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 15c | 200.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 28c | 182.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 12c | 175.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 156$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3426…c7b7backed Yes | 10c | 127.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 9c | 125.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 13c | 93.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Yes | 15c | 81.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…6b77backed Yes | 14c | 78.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2024-11-29?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Southampton end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.