TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Manchester City beat Paris Saint-Germain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xffd6…9b1cbacked Yes38c49,807$18,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,724.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No62c48,506$30,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,254.2822647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No64c27,027$17,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,774.051330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+147%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes37c13,046$4,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.5910931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes36c12,500$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50021037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No63c6,000$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.9712359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes36c4,905$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.851729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No62c2,993$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.217348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x212a…dbe8backed Yes23c2,596$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes36c2,250$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81012036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No63c2,215$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.753324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No64c2,000$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No63c1,785$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.5644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2753…2683backed Yes36c1,403$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No68c1,152$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.157460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No51c1,048$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.830754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb5…4f10backed Yes37c934.36$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404425%11 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb278…d6a7backed Yes36c748.08$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes36c734.9$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.563464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes41c730.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x418f…b7b6backed Yes35c659.98$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No63c608.73$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.618754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes36c588$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.681729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f397backed Yes37c587.05$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No63c535.99$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.381957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…d643backed Yes39c504.56$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No60c431.17$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.478748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No11c391.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.6928639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Yes66c385.54$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x538a…bd78backed Yes12c364.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.862133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No63c355.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7521354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.510543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No65c296.56$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.812862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed No64c285.71$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+94.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Yes36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes36c273.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.558638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes38c263.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.083129%9 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No63c255$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3516836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa289…d95cbacked Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b8…c769backed Yes40c248.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Yes36c236.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No67c218.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x891b…d1b8backed Yes42c176.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes37c163.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes31c163.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6820462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x722c…515fbacked No35c144.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+194.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d50…beecbacked No71c142.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x235a…b3b8backed Yes36c142.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.171586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+40.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Yes41c122.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2e…8b5dbacked Yes37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes38c104.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes37c100.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.565518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…4c9fbacked Yes38c99.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.631010%1 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+361.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…bdd8backed Yes41c98.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62b…5250backed Yes38c92.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed No71c89.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e8d…3497backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes37c78.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275339.6%21 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No61c74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8634449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe695…7493backed Yes39c74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b7…176cbacked Yes30c72.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes36c71.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.619538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No65c71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7417466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes36c69.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb0…6367backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e00…d922backed Yes36c66.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd64b…c3cdbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Yes51c63.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e5…b199backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8901…5f1cbacked Yes38c55.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes27c55.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152722.2%6 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+74.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b8…9e37backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4784…4754backed Yes37c51.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x652c…3ea0backed Yes37c51.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd6…5d79backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e40…63cabacked Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Yes36c46.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.863243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes64c46.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4b…5ae1backed Yes27c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No64c44.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6776…8ca2backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39e6…d62dbacked No64c41.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50a…b40bbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1f…3462backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d4…d3aabacked Yes30c34.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582313%3 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+183.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57fa…f093backed Yes65c34.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…6373backed Yes36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…bb4dbacked Yes36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Yes36c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.