Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City beat Paris Saint-Germain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c561798cf9e43792baa231a4246d99880b6facb6621fed108b6a8a56e164df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffd6…9b1cbacked Yes | 38c | 49,807$18,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,724.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 62c | 48,506$30,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,254.28 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 64c | 27,027$17,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,774.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +147%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 37c | 13,046$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.59 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 36c | 12,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 63c | 6,000$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.97 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 36c | 4,905$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 62c | 2,993$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 23c | 2,596$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 36c | 2,250$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 63c | 2,215$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.75 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 1,785$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.56 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…2683backed Yes | 36c | 1,403$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 68c | 1,152$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.15 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 51c | 1,048$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.8 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…4f10backed Yes | 37c | 934.36$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…d6a7backed Yes | 36c | 748.08$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 36c | 734.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.56 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 41c | 730.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed Yes | 35c | 659.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 63c | 608.73$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 36c | 588$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed Yes | 37c | 587.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 63c | 535.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…d643backed Yes | 39c | 504.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 60c | 431.17$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.47 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 11c | 391.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Yes | 66c | 385.54$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 12c | 364.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 63c | 355.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 65c | 296.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed No | 64c | 285.71$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Yes | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 36c | 273.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 63c | 255$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 40c | 248.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Yes | 36c | 236.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 67c | 218.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…d1b8backed Yes | 42c | 176.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 37c | 163.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 31c | 163.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked No | 35c | 144.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d50…beecbacked No | 71c | 142.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…b3b8backed Yes | 36c | 142.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Yes | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2e…8b5dbacked Yes | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 38c | 104.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 37c | 100.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…4c9fbacked Yes | 38c | 99.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +361.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…bdd8backed Yes | 41c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…5250backed Yes | 38c | 92.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 71c | 89.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8d…3497backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed Yes | 39c | 74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b7…176cbacked Yes | 30c | 72.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 36c | 71.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 36c | 69.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb0…6367backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…d922backed Yes | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…c3cdbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Yes | 51c | 63.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e5…b199backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…5f1cbacked Yes | 38c | 55.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 27c | 55.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9e37backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…4754backed Yes | 37c | 51.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652c…3ea0backed Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…5d79backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e40…63cabacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 36c | 46.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 64c | 46.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…5ae1backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 64c | 44.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6776…8ca2backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…d62dbacked No | 64c | 41.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…b40bbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Yes | 30c | 34.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +183.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…f093backed Yes | 65c | 34.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…6373backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…bb4dbacked Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City beat Paris Saint-Germain?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City?Yes won
- Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.