NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9adc340722aa695a028d62fc093a661aa3c9a9ca6185ee3faf74a7b82eb4421c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Bulls, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Bulls | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…fe32backed Bulls | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…602fbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…3fe3backed Bulls | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5a3fbacked Bulls | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c8…31bcbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 19c | 4,588$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.78 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 1c | 4,342$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Bulls | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Bulls | 19c | 2,288$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 19c | 2,230$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.52 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Bulls | 22c | 1,832$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,822$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.59 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…9dedbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,111$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls | 17c | 1,020$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.7 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Bulls | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Bulls | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Bulls | 21c | 980.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cavaliers | 78c | 976.94$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…0781backed Bulls | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…91aabacked Bulls | 11c | 927.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 10c | 762.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Bulls | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Bulls | 21c | 685.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bulls | 15c | 669.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Bulls | 19c | 657.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…2ab4backed Bulls | 13c | 597.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Bulls | 17c | 581.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Bulls | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 20c | 550.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Bulls | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Cavaliers | 80c | 534.09$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Bulls | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…da54backed Bulls | 17c | 490.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Cavaliers | 80c | 490$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…3d68backed Bulls | 21c | 485.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Bulls | 21c | 478.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…a6ffbacked Bulls | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Bulls | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Bulls | 17c | 385.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Bulls | 20c | 351$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Bulls | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Bulls | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Bulls | 18c | 299.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Bulls | 14c | 275.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed Bulls | 20c | 259.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…fb04backed Bulls | 15c | 255.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…889abacked Bulls | 6c | 230$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…859fbacked Bulls | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked Bulls | 22c | 213.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Bulls | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Bulls | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Cavaliers | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Bulls | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…7462backed Bulls | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Bulls | 20c | 174.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…d809backed Bulls | 19c | 161.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Bulls | 16c | 159.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5e07backed Cavaliers | 80c | 154.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Cavaliers | 78c | 153.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 12c | 139.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Bulls | 22c | 136.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bulls | 20c | 122.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…9bbdbacked Bulls | 13c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Bulls | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cavaliers | 79c | 107.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Bulls | 11c | 105.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…f393backed Bulls | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bulls | 20c | 100.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Bulls | 21c | 100.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Cavaliers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…e94ebacked Bulls | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Bulls | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Cavaliers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Cavaliers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Bulls | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Bulls | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…33c1backed Bulls | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…2a44backed Bulls | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Bulls | 18c | 94.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Bulls | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Bulls | 16c | 88.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Bulls | 19c | 83.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…04c0backed Bulls | 20c | 76.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Bulls | 15c | 75.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Bulls | 31c | 75.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Bulls | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…70edbacked Bulls | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Cavaliers | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Bulls | 17c | 59.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Bulls | 22c | 57.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Bulls | 20c | 52.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…022dbacked Bulls | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Bulls | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Cavaliers | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.