Champions League · resolved market
Will Atalanta beat Young Boys?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc32f3e6fcdb3cb6dd118861a63742f5b003f8faaf3643575c4ab3ea68f49e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed No | 40c | 1,255$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 34c | 1,240$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.09 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.45 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed No | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 34c | 762.02$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 64c | 607.08$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 74c | 271.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 60c | 247.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3438…26fabacked No | 32c | 171.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 70c | 152.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…7e05backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 30c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed Yes | 71c | 63.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 67c | 48.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 62c | 48.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked Yes | 69c | 45.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 63c | 45.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…9321backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 69c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…280dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…8b5cbacked Yes | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…6eacbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…4774backed Yes | 70c | 19.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…f127backed Yes | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta beat Young Boys?this page
- Will Young Boys beat Atalanta?No won
- Will the match between Young Boys and Atalanta end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.