Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d938be0cc730ae721c5fb90ac351ea9b4b45d3e23635200f6f5978f93df942a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 2,068$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 12c | 2,031$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 1,766$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 12c | 1,708$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 9c | 1,517$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 1,447$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 739.22$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.81 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 691.12$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 631.26$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 12c | 618.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 7c | 607.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 603.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 7c | 505$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 308.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 16c | 250.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 249.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 7c | 248.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 13c | 231.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 12c | 114.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 113.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 33c | 101.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 35c | 94.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 29c | 88.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 28c | 88.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 24c | 70.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 21c | 62.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…9e0cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…3165backed Yes | 34c | 49.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…bce6backed Yes | 22c | 47.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090b…2f01backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 30.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…dce1backed No | 63c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked No | 64c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.