Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8afe1a85db350781a3832761445bfe82ae523e6ba044b376a82e5ffa8b50b706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 2,890$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.11 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 1,602$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.5 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 66c | 1,481$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 1,376$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,359$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 896.01$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.67 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 68c | 884.77$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.55 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 27c | 849.42$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 26c | 757.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 701.98$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 630.11$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 588.4$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.34 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 560.53$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.19 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 460.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked No | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 69c | 358.9$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 354.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 35c | 350.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 31c | 309.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 30c | 284.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 263.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 75c | 241.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 33c | 207$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…5c2ebacked No | 9c | 204.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 38c | 200.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Yes | 35c | 142.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 67c | 138$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 64c | 88.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 22c | 84.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 73c | 83.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 69.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 34c | 65.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 58c | 64.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 31c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 60.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 36c | 56.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 36c | 52.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 49.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 47.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 31c | 47.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 47.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 68c | 46.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 35c | 41.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 38.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 34.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 58c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 16.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.