MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfa85154bda25b785be4e5e1322858b282fd69b429e1e7eeb4d271596ddc11cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $699,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 55c | 461,800$253,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,954.02 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mets | 45c | 177,956$80,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,080.29 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 45c | 161,380$72,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,609.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 45c | 37,627$16,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,938.01 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 55c | 36,674$20,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,503.1 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 45c | 30,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.92 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 57c | 27,890$15,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,925.37 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 45c | 25,222$11,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,349.86 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mets | 45c | 21,749$9,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,787.05 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 55c | 20,382$11,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,204.43 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 45c | 16,710$7,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,519.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mets | 45c | 16,497$7,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,423.65 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Mets | 45c | 15,660$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 45c | 11,359$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.55 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 45c | 9,289$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.27 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 44c | 8,628$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.44 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 55c | 8,253$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.23 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 45c | 6,974$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.3 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 55c | 6,098$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 55c | 5,415$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.75 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mets | 40c | 5,359$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.09 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Mets | 44c | 5,013$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Phillies | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Mets | 45c | 4,896$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…2182backed Phillies | 60c | 4,506$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 40c | 4,260$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.76 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Phillies | 56c | 3,912$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.28 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Mets | 45c | 3,902$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Mets | 47c | 3,310$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.88 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mets | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Phillies | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 55c | 2,559$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.5 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x925c…fb35backed Phillies | 56c | 2,519$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 32c | 2,509$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Phillies | 56c | 2,500$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Phillies | 55c | 2,455$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.55 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Mets | 45c | 2,281$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.62 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Phillies | 56c | 2,232$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Phillies | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Mets | 45c | 2,168$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Mets | 44c | 1,994$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Mets | 45c | 1,991$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 42c | 1,905$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Phillies | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Mets | 45c | 1,794$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.3 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Phillies | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Mets | 45c | 1,724$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.67 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Phillies | 54c | 1,508$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.68 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Mets | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mets | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mets | 45c | 1,484$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.6 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 46c | 1,362$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.42 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 44c | 1,300$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…1d77backed Mets | 47c | 1,138$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…2c1abacked Phillies | 53c | 1,130$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec0…08ecbacked Phillies | 53c | 1,120$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…fe69backed Mets | 47c | 1,112$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Phillies | 55c | 1,100$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Mets | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.27 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Mets | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Mets | 17c | 853.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Phillies | 56c | 804.73$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Mets | 45c | 796.87$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mets | 8c | 789.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 39c | 759$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 52c | 734.06$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.28 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mets | 45c | 686.16$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.77 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mets | 45c | 573.52$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.08 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Mets | 46c | 572.25$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.24 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mets | 45c | 572$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mets | 45c | 569.36$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…5faabacked Mets | 45c | 510.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Phillies | 56c | 510.54$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Phillies | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mets | 44c | 496.32$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mets | 39c | 474.43$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 53c | 467.28$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.62 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mets | 45c | 466.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Phillies | 54c | 455$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Mets | 45c | 445.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Phillies | 55c | 416.22$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mets | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 72c | 390.85$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Phillies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Mets | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Phillies | 58c | 344.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 45c | 343.07$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…eb0fbacked Phillies | 55c | 337.65$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Phillies | 55c | 302.67$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mets | 45c | 300.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…dee1backed Mets | 45c | 300.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Mets | 8c | 299.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Philliesthis page
- Mets vs. Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Mets vs. PhilliesNo won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.