NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05274774d714568886152ff21d06454884a473f4fb5b2a82c1dee2b1093858ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Senators | 40c | 19,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Senators | 51c | 12,951$6,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,319.35 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Senators | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 41c | 5,000$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.04 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…85b2backed Lightning | 62c | 3,287$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Senators | 39c | 3,005$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Senators | 37c | 2,681$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.86 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Lightning | 60c | 2,441$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.53 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Lightning | 62c | 2,286$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Lightning | 61c | 1,988$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.68 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 56c | 1,870$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9eefbacked Senators | 40c | 1,861$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…9c8dbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,861$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…129abacked Senators | 40c | 1,853$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…e7d4backed Lightning | 62c | 1,853$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lightning | 1c | 1,795$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Senators | 38c | 1,700$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.93 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 38c | 1,368$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 47c | 1,348$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Senators | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lightning | 70c | 1,076$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.72 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lightning | 77c | 1,040$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.41 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…865ebacked Senators | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Senators | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Senators | 24c | 856.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lightning | 19c | 645$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Lightning | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Senators | 9c | 529.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.7 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 61c | 499.96$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Lightning | 43c | 489.63$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Senators | 15c | 448.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.79 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Lightning | 59c | 400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lightning | 62c | 310.14$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Senators | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Senators | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lightning | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lightning | 61c | 290.65$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Senators | 39c | 280$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Senators | 40c | 265$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Senators | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Senators | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3598backed Lightning | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 39c | 219.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Senators | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 38c | 208.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Lightning | 61c | 203.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lightning | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Senators | 25c | 171.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Senators | 23c | 164$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Senators | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Lightning | 62c | 141$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 61c | 132.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Senators | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Senators | 39c | 127.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Senators | 39c | 121.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Senators | 37c | 119.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Senators | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Senators | 38c | 104.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Senators | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Senators | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Senators | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Senators | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Senators | 25c | 99.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Senators | 39c | 92.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…7afbbacked Lightning | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Senators | 38c | 80.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Lightning | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 63c | 77.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…5e69backed Lightning | 63c | 77.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Senators | 38c | 77.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…4348backed Senators | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Lightning | 63c | 72.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Senators | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 38c | 69.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…14d1backed Senators | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…1b8fbacked Senators | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Lightning | 60c | 53.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lightning | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…68c5backed Senators | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…b68ebacked Senators | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Senators | 45c | 50.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…3be6backed Senators | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…e017backed Lightning | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Senators | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…628cbacked Senators | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…4630backed Senators | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Senators | 44c | 33.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Lightning | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Lightning | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…99eabacked Lightning | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…3e05backed Lightning | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…fca3backed Senators | 40c | 31.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Lightningthis page
- Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.