NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa675f63529a6d7a30a2a5f47cbb67fcf41a48ea054649d9bcd4b3642bb8c410b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Golden Knights, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Golden Knights | 68c | 17,490$11,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,893 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Sabres | 32c | 10,686$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,223.69 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 32c | 7,958$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390.62 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sabres | 41c | 4,615$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.68 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Golden Knights | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,903$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.74 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Golden Knights | 67c | 2,768$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 34c | 2,760$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.98 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights | 65c | 2,490$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.56 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 63c | 2,300$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.71 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres | 34c | 2,278$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.99 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Golden Knights | 65c | 2,270$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.49 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Sabres | 35c | 1,965$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.44 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,938$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.38 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…143fbacked Golden Knights | 19c | 1,777$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,760$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…2318backed Sabres | 36c | 1,760$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Sabres | 34c | 1,650$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.89 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Sabres | 25c | 1,601$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.46 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Golden Knights | 66c | 1,502$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Sabres | 34c | 1,502$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Golden Knights | 67c | 1,343$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sabres | 34c | 1,334$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Sabres | 34c | 1,325$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.8 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres | 35c | 1,107$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.64 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Sabres | 36c | 906.94$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.44 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 35c | 800.09$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.73 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Golden Knights | 15c | 722.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Sabres | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights | 8c | 493.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 35c | 477.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…97adbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…c2babacked Golden Knights | 56c | 378.94$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 349.69$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Golden Knights | 55c | 318.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 308.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Golden Knights | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights | 66c | 294$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Golden Knights | 66c | 288.35$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 269.23$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Golden Knights | 65c | 250.77$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Sabres | 26c | 232.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Golden Knights | 8c | 219.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Golden Knights | 64c | 208.34$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Golden Knights | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Sabres | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed Golden Knights | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 199.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Sabres | 16c | 154.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 154.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Golden Knights | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Golden Knights | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Golden Knights | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Golden Knights | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…7d29backed Sabres | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Golden Knights | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…186abacked Sabres | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Sabres | 25c | 137.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Golden Knights | 66c | 125$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Sabres | 36c | 122.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…58a2backed Sabres | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd49…cae9backed Golden Knights | 66c | 113.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sabres | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Golden Knights | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Golden Knights | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Golden Knights | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Sabres | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Golden Knights | 70c | 99.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 73c | 97.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Sabres | 37c | 86.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b2a1backed Golden Knights | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Golden Knights | 57c | 83.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083b…3decbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Sabres | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fb…ca7abacked Sabres | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 71.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Golden Knights | 79c | 70.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…3055backed Golden Knights | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…ac23backed Sabres | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sabres | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Golden Knights | 65c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…ae4cbacked Sabres | 35c | 68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Golden Knights | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…175cbacked Sabres | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 47cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…1e04backed Golden Knights | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sabres | 33c | 58.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…af45backed Golden Knights | 78c | 57.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…b777backed Sabres | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Golden Knights | 74c | 54.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.