MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54370870e22f71ab31084bc7f519687347a562146c444410ff4854b893e65420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Marlins | 44c | 58,169$25,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,517.88 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Guardians | 56c | 57,714$32,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,274.7 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ca9bbacked Marlins | 78c | 44,849$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,849.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 21c | 41,505$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,760.04 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 22c | 27,390$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Guardians | 30c | 11,741$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.09 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Guardians | 55c | 9,392$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,165.59 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 23c | 9,080$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.98 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 21c | 5,676$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 21c | 5,156$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.3 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Marlins | 44c | 4,607$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.77 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 3,679$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Guardians | 56c | 3,568$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Guardians | 27c | 3,568$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.53 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 45c | 3,567$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.98 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Guardians | 55c | 3,535$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.24 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Marlins | 72c | 3,120$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.61 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Guardians | 24c | 2,739$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.82 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Marlins | 78c | 2,396$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.22 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 24c | 2,293$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.9 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians | 31c | 2,209$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.97 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 45c | 1,703$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.54 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians | 55c | 1,638$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.53 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Guardians | 24c | 1,555$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marlins | 44c | 1,126$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.56 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Guardians | 2c | 1,037$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 45c | 994.53$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.99 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 21c | 972$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 44c | 899.98$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Guardians | 25c | 870$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Marlins | 45c | 851.11$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 44c | 819.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.19 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 15c | 750$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Marlins | 44c | 743.46$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.34 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Marlins | 80c | 725.94$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Guardians | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 35c | 635.45$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.56 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Marlins | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 44c | 540.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.96 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 68c | 519.27$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Marlins | 45c | 514.91$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Guardians | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Marlins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 65c | 455.25$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Guardians | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Guardians | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Marlins | 45c | 428.8$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 22c | 422.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 45c | 416.03$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…9a36backed Guardians | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Guardians | 33c | 358.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Guardians | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 56c | 357$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 56c | 346.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…8014backed Marlins | 79c | 336.44$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Marlins | 76c | 301.29$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Marlins | 45c | 298.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.39 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Guardians | 24c | 277.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Marlins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 55c | 219.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Marlins | 46c | 219.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 70c | 215.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 60c | 201.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Guardians | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Guardians | 25c | 193.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Guardians | 56c | 193.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Guardians | 27c | 183.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 27c | 175.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 55c | 157.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Guardians | 56c | 151.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Guardians | 42c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…088bbacked Guardians | 55c | 146.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Guardians | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Guardians | 19c | 137.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Marlins | 46c | 134.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 78c | 127.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 22c | 124.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Guardians | 24c | 118.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.